Non-Linear Dynamical Systems, Phase-Space Attractors, and Adversarial Liquidity Mechanics in Financial Markets

Standard market microstructure models and conventional technical indicators assume price returns follow linear stochastic walks with gaussian innovations, entirely discarding the non-linear deterministic topology generated by heterogeneous market participants. This paper introduces an original theoretical and empirical formulation connecting chaotic dynamical systems, Takens' phase-space embedding, dissipative Langevin potentials, and adversarial liquidity mechanics. We prove mathematically and demonstrate empirically that the Tenkan-sen (Tₜ) extremal midpoint functions as a non-linear deterministic dynamic attractor rather than a lagging filter. By modeling the dimensionless elastic strain Δₜ = |Pₜ - Tₜ| / σₜ as a particle in a dissipative potential well V(Δₜ), we prove that excess strain (Δₜ ≥ 2.5) produces an asymptotic restoring force with an empirical mean-reversion rate of 86.68% across 62,094 real M15 bars in Spot Gold (XAU/USD, 2024–2026). Incorporating trade volume as the physical inertial mass of order flow (𝒫 = Vₜ · γₜ), we resolve the critical bifurcation between elastic mean-reversion (antipersistent Hurst H₅₀ < 0.43, State α) and hyperbolic attractor breakout (H₅₀ > 0.57, State γ). High-resolution microstructural verification on 16,091 real ticks during the psychological 4,350.00 USD breakdown (September 18, 2026, 13:50–14:30 UTC) confirms that naive breakout execution generates acute behavioral toxicity, formalized via the closed-form Retail Self-Destruction Index (Ωₜ). Finally, we formulate an autonomous cognitive circuit-breaker protocol that neutralizes operator tilt and overtrading by auditing instantaneous execution vectors against thermodynamic attractor mechanics.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-09-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22883010
Primary Topic
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Type
article
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Non-Linear Dynamical Systems, Phase-Space Attractors, and Adversarial Liquidity Mechanics in Financial Markets

Mikael Bradford S. R. Sepaul
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
article

Non-Linear Dynamical Systems, Phase-Space Attractors, and Adversarial Liquidity Mechanics in Financial Markets

Mikael Bradford S. R. Sepaul
article en

Abstract

Standard market microstructure models and conventional technical indicators assume price returns follow linear stochastic walks with gaussian innovations, entirely discarding the non-linear deterministic topology generated by heterogeneous market participants. This paper introduces an original theoretical and empirical formulation connecting chaotic dynamical systems, Takens' phase-space embedding, dissipative Langevin potentials, and adversarial liquidity mechanics. We prove mathematically and demonstrate empirically that the Tenkan-sen (Tₜ) extremal midpoint functions as a non-linear deterministic dynamic attractor rather than a lagging filter. By modeling the dimensionless elastic strain Δₜ = |Pₜ - Tₜ| / σₜ as a particle in a dissipative potential well V(Δₜ), we prove that excess strain (Δₜ ≥ 2.5) produces an asymptotic restoring force with an empirical mean-reversion rate of 86.68% across 62,094 real M15 bars in Spot Gold (XAU/USD, 2024–2026). Incorporating trade volume as the physical inertial mass of order flow (𝒫 = Vₜ · γₜ), we resolve the critical bifurcation between elastic mean-reversion (antipersistent Hurst H₅₀ < 0.43, State α) and hyperbolic attractor breakout (H₅₀ > 0.57, State γ). High-resolution microstructural verification on 16,091 real ticks during the psychological 4,350.00 USD breakdown (September 18, 2026, 13:50–14:30 UTC) confirms that naive breakout execution generates acute behavioral toxicity, formalized via the closed-form Retail Self-Destruction Index (Ωₜ). Finally, we formulate an autonomous cognitive circuit-breaker protocol that neutralizes operator tilt and overtrading by auditing instantaneous execution vectors against thermodynamic attractor mechanics.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
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Non-Linear Dynamical Systems, Phase-Space Attractors, and Adversarial Liquidity Mechanics in Financial Markets — Mikael Bradford S. R. Sepaul · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS