Rare events in multiplicative sequences: Poisson laws, clusters, and observation

A multiplicative identity can persist at every scale while disappearing from a rare-event count. Another identity can survive as a cluster whose points lie far apart. Which distinction matters depends on what is observed. We explain this through one completely calculated model: a uniform germ can trigger two occurrences in disjoint spatial windows. Its two marginal counts become Poisson, but their sum need not do so. A coupling identifies the correct same-grid target and separates the mean number of points from the mean number of active germs. We then isolate the additional work required by multiplicative sources: private prime coordinates, weighted relations between windows, corrections to prime-site intensities, and relations visible at the target scale. A final passage from marked configurations to records explains the roles of ties, recognition and observation clocks. Selected results are stated with their hypotheses; a short concordance leads to their proofs. The elementary calculations are proved here, while the arithmetic and functional limit theorems are taken from the four cited research articles.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-09-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22880993
Primary Topic
Radioactive Decay and Measurement Techniques
Type
preprint
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preprint

Rare events in multiplicative sequences: Poisson laws, clusters, and observation

Brice Pouly
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Radioactive Decay and Measurement Techniques
preprint

Rare events in multiplicative sequences: Poisson laws, clusters, and observation

Brice Pouly
preprint en

Abstract

A multiplicative identity can persist at every scale while disappearing from a rare-event count. Another identity can survive as a cluster whose points lie far apart. Which distinction matters depends on what is observed. We explain this through one completely calculated model: a uniform germ can trigger two occurrences in disjoint spatial windows. Its two marginal counts become Poisson, but their sum need not do so. A coupling identifies the correct same-grid target and separates the mean number of points from the mean number of active germs. We then isolate the additional work required by multiplicative sources: private prime coordinates, weighted relations between windows, corrections to prime-site intensities, and relations visible at the target scale. A final passage from marked configurations to records explains the roles of ties, recognition and observation clocks. Selected results are stated with their hypotheses; a short concordance leads to their proofs. The elementary calculations are proved here, while the arithmetic and functional limit theorems are taken from the four cited research articles.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Radioactive Decay and Measurement Techniques
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Rare events in multiplicative sequences: Poisson laws, clusters, and observation — Brice Pouly · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS