AI Turing Machines and Catastrophe Theory - Application to the Extinction Problem: " Will AI Extinguish Humanity ? "

This work introduces the AI Turing Machine (AITM) framework and its probabilistic extension, formalizing adaptive computation, solvability hierarchies, and catastrophe theory mappings. We apply the model to the existential question “Will AI extinguish humanity?” and prove that while deterministic prediction of extinction is unsolvable, probabilistic risk estimation is tractable. Using René Thom’s cusp catastrophe, we show how solvability bifurcates into probabilistic modeling and collapses at singularities, offering a rigorous mathematical lens for existential risk analysis.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-09-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22871557
Primary Topic
Space Science and Extraterrestrial Life
Type
preprint
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preprint

AI Turing Machines and Catastrophe Theory - Application to the Extinction Problem: " Will AI Extinguish Humanity ? "

Peter HF Lau
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Space Science and Extraterrestrial Life
preprint

AI Turing Machines and Catastrophe Theory - Application to the Extinction Problem: " Will AI Extinguish Humanity ? "

Peter HF Lau
preprint en

Abstract

This work introduces the AI Turing Machine (AITM) framework and its probabilistic extension, formalizing adaptive computation, solvability hierarchies, and catastrophe theory mappings. We apply the model to the existential question “Will AI extinguish humanity?” and prove that while deterministic prediction of extinction is unsolvable, probabilistic risk estimation is tractable. Using René Thom’s cusp catastrophe, we show how solvability bifurcates into probabilistic modeling and collapses at singularities, offering a rigorous mathematical lens for existential risk analysis.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Space Science and Extraterrestrial Life
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AI Turing Machines and Catastrophe Theory - Application to the Extinction Problem: " Will AI Extinguish Humanity ? " — Peter HF Lau · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS