Compound drought–heat wave hazards are concentrated in US regions with multiple social vulnerabilities and agricultural dependence

Compound drought and heat wave (CDHW) events are becoming more frequent and intense across the contiguous United States, increasing risks to human health, ecosystems, agriculture, and energy production systems. However, their distribution across socioeconomically vulnerable communities remains largely unexplored at the national scale. In this study, we develop a CDHW metric by integrating weekly US Drought Monitor classifications with daily temperature extremes from 2000–2021, allowing consistent mapping of CDHW occurrences along county-level socioeconomic conditions. Our analysis reveals significant regional differences, with elevated CDHW occurrences concentrated in the South, Southeast, and western United States. Regions facing greater socioeconomic challenges, including poverty, high agricultural employment, and health-related vulnerabilities, experience notably higher CDHW risks. Greater spatial concentration of CDHW occurrences, as indicated by higher Gini coefficient values, occurs where multiple socioeconomic vulnerabilities intersect, such as in counties with large poor populations and older housing. These findings indicate that CDHW events are unevenly distributed across socially vulnerable communities, underscoring the need for targeted adaptation strategies to reduce climate risks for the most vulnerable communities.

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Publication Details

Journal
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Published
2026-09-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2607273123
Primary Topic
Climate Change and Health Impacts
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Compound drought–heat wave hazards are concentrated in US regions with multiple social vulnerabilities and agricultural dependence

David Zilberman, Ashok Kumar Mishra, Amitesh Sabut
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Climate Change and Health Impacts
article

Compound drought–heat wave hazards are concentrated in US regions with multiple social vulnerabilities and agricultural dependence

David Zilberman, Ashok Kumar Mishra, Amitesh Sabut
article en

Abstract

Compound drought and heat wave (CDHW) events are becoming more frequent and intense across the contiguous United States, increasing risks to human health, ecosystems, agriculture, and energy production systems. However, their distribution across socioeconomically vulnerable communities remains largely unexplored at the national scale. In this study, we develop a CDHW metric by integrating weekly US Drought Monitor classifications with daily temperature extremes from 2000–2021, allowing consistent mapping of CDHW occurrences along county-level socioeconomic conditions. Our analysis reveals significant regional differences, with elevated CDHW occurrences concentrated in the South, Southeast, and western United States. Regions facing greater socioeconomic challenges, including poverty, high agricultural employment, and health-related vulnerabilities, experience notably higher CDHW risks. Greater spatial concentration of CDHW occurrences, as indicated by higher Gini coefficient values, occurs where multiple socioeconomic vulnerabilities intersect, such as in counties with large poor populations and older housing. These findings indicate that CDHW events are unevenly distributed across socially vulnerable communities, underscoring the need for targeted adaptation strategies to reduce climate risks for the most vulnerable communities.

Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesVol. 123(40)
Texas A&M University (US)
No poverty
Openalex Percentile: Top 12%
Climate Change and Health Impacts
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