Delay-coupled multi-branch reservoir computing with cross-pooled interactions for long-horizon chaotic dynamics forecasting

Long-horizon forecasting of chaotic dynamics remains highly challenging because of the extreme sensitivity to initial conditions and the rapid accumulation of prediction errors during temporal evolution. To address this issue, this paper proposes DCP-MBRC, a delay-coupled multi-branch reservoir computing framework with cross-pooled interactions, for high-performance long-horizon chaotic forecasting. The proposed framework employs multiple reservoir branches operating with different capacities, where delayed coupling and nonlinear delayed interaction terms are embedded within each branch to enhance modeling of history-dependent dynamics and nonlinear temporal evolution. Cross-pooled interaction mechanisms are further constructed across branches to explicitly capture inter-branch state correlations and improve multi-branch information fusion, simultaneously boosting the model's memory capacity and nonlinear representation ability for chaotic evolution. Experiments on four typical chaotic systems, namely the Rössler system, the coupled Lorenz system, the Mackey–Glass delay system, and a 4D hyperchaotic system, demonstrate that DCP-MBRC consistently outperforms the baselines in terms of long-horizon forecasting accuracy and valid prediction length. Furthermore, attractor reconstruction, power spectral density analysis, and reconstructed bifurcation diagrams show that the proposed method preserves the intrinsic dynamical structures of the target systems more faithfully. Ablation and parameter studies further quantify the effects of key components, i.e., delayed coupling, cross-pooled interactions, and design parameters, on the predictability of chaotic systems. These results indicate that DCP-MBRC provides an effective and robust data-driven approach for long-horizon chaotic dynamics forecasting, with clear advantages in both predictive performance and dynamical fidelity.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Chaos Solitons & Fractals
Published
2026-09-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2026.119214
Primary Topic
Neural Networks and Reservoir Computing
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
article

Delay-coupled multi-branch reservoir computing with cross-pooled interactions for long-horizon chaotic dynamics forecasting

Zuowei Ye, Guidong Zhang
Chaos Solitons & Fractals
Neural Networks and Reservoir Computing
article

Delay-coupled multi-branch reservoir computing with cross-pooled interactions for long-horizon chaotic dynamics forecasting

Zuowei Ye, Guidong Zhang
article en

Abstract

Long-horizon forecasting of chaotic dynamics remains highly challenging because of the extreme sensitivity to initial conditions and the rapid accumulation of prediction errors during temporal evolution. To address this issue, this paper proposes DCP-MBRC, a delay-coupled multi-branch reservoir computing framework with cross-pooled interactions, for high-performance long-horizon chaotic forecasting. The proposed framework employs multiple reservoir branches operating with different capacities, where delayed coupling and nonlinear delayed interaction terms are embedded within each branch to enhance modeling of history-dependent dynamics and nonlinear temporal evolution. Cross-pooled interaction mechanisms are further constructed across branches to explicitly capture inter-branch state correlations and improve multi-branch information fusion, simultaneously boosting the model's memory capacity and nonlinear representation ability for chaotic evolution. Experiments on four typical chaotic systems, namely the Rössler system, the coupled Lorenz system, the Mackey–Glass delay system, and a 4D hyperchaotic system, demonstrate that DCP-MBRC consistently outperforms the baselines in terms of long-horizon forecasting accuracy and valid prediction length. Furthermore, attractor reconstruction, power spectral density analysis, and reconstructed bifurcation diagrams show that the proposed method preserves the intrinsic dynamical structures of the target systems more faithfully. Ablation and parameter studies further quantify the effects of key components, i.e., delayed coupling, cross-pooled interactions, and design parameters, on the predictability of chaotic systems. These results indicate that DCP-MBRC provides an effective and robust data-driven approach for long-horizon chaotic dynamics forecasting, with clear advantages in both predictive performance and dynamical fidelity.

Chaos Solitons & FractalsVol. 213
Guangdong University of Technology (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Neural Networks and Reservoir Computing
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Delay-coupled multi-branch reservoir computing with cross-pooled interactions for long-horizon chaotic dynamics forecasting — Zuowei Ye, Guidong Zhang · Chaos Solitons & Fractals (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS