Robustness of CPL dark-energy constraints from Pantheon+, Union3, and DES-SN5YR Dovekie Type Ia supernovae and DESI DR2 BAO

We test the compilation robustness of constraints on the Chevallier–Polarski–Linder (CPL) dark-energy parameterization using three alternative Type Ia supernova likelihoods: Pantheon+, Union3+UNITY1.5, and DES-SN5YR Dovekie. Each is combined separately with DESI Data Release 2 baryon acoustic oscillations and a compressed Planck 2018 distance prior. For every compilation we fit spatially flat LCDM and CPL to an identical within-pair data vector and covariance. We retain the release observable conventions and full covariance information, profile the common supernova distance scale, and restrict information-criterion differences to valid within-compilation comparisons. The compilations share supernovae and are not statistically independent; they are alternative likelihood pipelines, not factors in a joint likelihood. The separate compilation-specific CPL comparisons give Pantheon+: delta AIC 0, delta BIC 9.435; Union3: delta AIC 0, delta BIC 0; DES-SN5YR Dovekie: delta AIC 0, delta BIC 7.125. The registered audit does not permit a detection claim. This study is therefore a reproducible robustness cross-check, not an independent claim of evolving dark energy. Every result is tied to input checksums, frozen configurations, and quantitative chain-quality gates. The deposited package contains the analysis code, the frozen configurations, the provenance manifests recording the release and checksum of every public input, the complete LaTeX source, the test suite, and the compact result summaries and figures behind every reported number. Raw external data releases and the sampler chains are not redistributed; ARCHIVE_CONTENTS.md states exactly what is included, what is excluded, and why. A SHA-256 checksum is supplied alongside the archive. The figures in the deposited PDF are raster images at publication resolution; the full-resolution vector originals rebuild from the archived code. Preprint. Not peer reviewed. This work was produced with substantial AI assistance (Claude, Anthropic). The author takes full responsibility for the content.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-09-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22832894
Primary Topic
Gamma-ray bursts and supernovae
Type
preprint
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
preprint

Robustness of CPL dark-energy constraints from Pantheon+, Union3, and DES-SN5YR Dovekie Type Ia supernovae and DESI DR2 BAO

Egemen Ekinci
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Gamma-ray bursts and supernovae
preprint

Robustness of CPL dark-energy constraints from Pantheon+, Union3, and DES-SN5YR Dovekie Type Ia supernovae and DESI DR2 BAO

Egemen Ekinci
preprint en

Abstract

We test the compilation robustness of constraints on the Chevallier–Polarski–Linder (CPL) dark-energy parameterization using three alternative Type Ia supernova likelihoods: Pantheon+, Union3+UNITY1.5, and DES-SN5YR Dovekie. Each is combined separately with DESI Data Release 2 baryon acoustic oscillations and a compressed Planck 2018 distance prior. For every compilation we fit spatially flat LCDM and CPL to an identical within-pair data vector and covariance. We retain the release observable conventions and full covariance information, profile the common supernova distance scale, and restrict information-criterion differences to valid within-compilation comparisons. The compilations share supernovae and are not statistically independent; they are alternative likelihood pipelines, not factors in a joint likelihood. The separate compilation-specific CPL comparisons give Pantheon+: delta AIC 0, delta BIC 9.435; Union3: delta AIC 0, delta BIC 0; DES-SN5YR Dovekie: delta AIC 0, delta BIC 7.125. The registered audit does not permit a detection claim. This study is therefore a reproducible robustness cross-check, not an independent claim of evolving dark energy. Every result is tied to input checksums, frozen configurations, and quantitative chain-quality gates. The deposited package contains the analysis code, the frozen configurations, the provenance manifests recording the release and checksum of every public input, the complete LaTeX source, the test suite, and the compact result summaries and figures behind every reported number. Raw external data releases and the sampler chains are not redistributed; ARCHIVE_CONTENTS.md states exactly what is included, what is excluded, and why. A SHA-256 checksum is supplied alongside the archive. The figures in the deposited PDF are raster images at publication resolution; the full-resolution vector originals rebuild from the archived code. Preprint. Not peer reviewed. This work was produced with substantial AI assistance (Claude, Anthropic). The author takes full responsibility for the content.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Gamma-ray bursts and supernovae
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Robustness of CPL dark-energy constraints from Pantheon+, Union3, and DES-SN5YR Dovekie Type Ia supernovae and DESI DR2 BAO — Egemen Ekinci · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS