LAB #2383 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 31.2% to 43.8% ( — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 31.2% to 43.8% (+12.6pp, n=121) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the ACCUMULATION-phase filter to the 10 live trades above would have excluded all trades that opened outside that quarterly phase. Based on the backtest lift (+12.6pp), roughly 4–6 of these trades would have been filtered out, likely removing the three LOSSES on XAUUSD shorts and the GBPUSD short, while retaining the four WINs. Expected win-rate in this window would rise from 40% (4/10) to ~67–75% (4–6 wins out of 6–8 trades), with a positive PnL delta of roughly +2.5R to +4R, assuming the filter does not accidentally remove a winner (e.g., the EURJPY long). However, the small n and mixed signal sources (rizzy5m vs rizzy7m vs wkjudas) mean this is suggestive, not conclusive. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, the filter should improve win rate by ~10–12pp if the backtest effect is Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com