Co‐Occurring Weather Systems Vary by Atmospheric River Scale Across the United States

Abstract Atmospheric Rivers (ARs) often co‐occur with other weather systems, including fronts, low‐pressure systems (LPSs), and mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), which can amplify precipitation and flood risk. While extreme rainfall is frequently linked to multiple interacting features, how these systems co‐occur with AR intensity scales and regions remains unclear. Using ERA5‐derived feature masks and satellite data, we quantify spatiotemporal overlaps between ARs and other systems. AR + Front combinations dominate across much of the conterminous U.S. In higher AR scales (4–5), more complex MCS‐related combinations become increasingly common, particularly in DJF and MAM and along the West Coast, while limited LPS‐related co‐occurrences appear mainly in JJA and SON and are confined to regions such as the Gulf of Mexico and offshore Pacific genesis regions. In contrast, AR‐only occurrences dominate in some inland western regions. Extreme precipitation exhibits seasonal variation, with distinct co‐occurring systems contributing across seasons.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2026-09-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl123975
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
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article

Co‐Occurring Weather Systems Vary by Atmospheric River Scale Across the United States

Jennifer L. Catto, William R. Boos, J. David Neelin, Travis O’Brien et al.
Geophysical Research Letters
Climate variability and models
article

Co‐Occurring Weather Systems Vary by Atmospheric River Scale Across the United States

Jennifer L. Catto, William R. Boos, J. David Neelin, Travis O’Brien, Hongsheng Wang, Kwesi Twentwewa Quagraine, L. Ruby Leung, Diya Kamnani, Yang Zhou, Wei-Ming Tsai
article en

Abstract

Abstract Atmospheric Rivers (ARs) often co‐occur with other weather systems, including fronts, low‐pressure systems (LPSs), and mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), which can amplify precipitation and flood risk. While extreme rainfall is frequently linked to multiple interacting features, how these systems co‐occur with AR intensity scales and regions remains unclear. Using ERA5‐derived feature masks and satellite data, we quantify spatiotemporal overlaps between ARs and other systems. AR + Front combinations dominate across much of the conterminous U.S. In higher AR scales (4–5), more complex MCS‐related combinations become increasingly common, particularly in DJF and MAM and along the West Coast, while limited LPS‐related co‐occurrences appear mainly in JJA and SON and are confined to regions such as the Gulf of Mexico and offshore Pacific genesis regions. In contrast, AR‐only occurrences dominate in some inland western regions. Extreme precipitation exhibits seasonal variation, with distinct co‐occurring systems contributing across seasons.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 53(18)
Planetary Science Institute (US), Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (US), Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (US), University of California, Los Angeles (US), University of Exeter (GB), Indiana University Bloomington (US), Texas A&M University (US), University of California, Berkeley (US)
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 14%
Climate variability and models
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