Contribution of Adolescent Movement Behaviours to Socioeconomic Inequalities in Adult Cardiovascular Disease Risk: A Causal Decomposition in a Population-Based Cohort

Addressing unhealthy movement behaviours in adolescence could reduce socioeconomic inequalities in adult cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Among 6608 adolescents enrolled in the Add Health cohort (1994-1995) and followed into adulthood (2016-2018), movement behaviours (physical activity, screen time, sleep) were classified as healthy or unhealthy based on adherence to the 24-Hour Movement Guidelines. Parental education and family financial hardship captured socioeconomic position (SEP). The outcome was 30-year CVD risk in adulthood. G-formula-based causal decomposition quantified changes in socioeconomic inequalities under two interventional scenarios: (1) eliminating unhealthy movement behaviours across the population, (2) equalizing the low-SEP group's movement behaviour distributions to match the high-SEP group. Adolescents whose parents did not graduate from college/university had a higher adult CVD risk than those whose parents did (RD: 6.9%, RR: 1.73). Eliminating all unhealthy movement behaviours reduced the RD to 4.9% (-2.0% absolute change), while the RR remained similar (1.76). Eliminating unhealthy levels of physical activity produced the largest absolute reduction (-1.7%), with negligible reductions for screen time (-0.2%) and sleep (-0.2%). The equalization scenario had minimal impact, and results were similar for family financial hardship. Whole-population interventions targeting unhealthy adolescent movement behaviours, particularly physical activity, may reduce absolute socioeconomic inequalities in adult CVD risk.

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Journal
American Journal of Epidemiology
Published
2026-09-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwag234
Primary Topic
Cardiac Health and Mental Health
Type
article
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article

Contribution of Adolescent Movement Behaviours to Socioeconomic Inequalities in Adult Cardiovascular Disease Risk: A Causal Decomposition in a Population-Based Cohort

Cristian Carmeli, Nicholas Grubic, Arjumand Siddiqi, Arnaud Chioléro et al.
American Journal of Epidemiology
Cardiac Health and Mental Health
article

Contribution of Adolescent Movement Behaviours to Socioeconomic Inequalities in Adult Cardiovascular Disease Risk: A Causal Decomposition in a Population-Based Cohort

Cristian Carmeli, Nicholas Grubic, Arjumand Siddiqi, Arnaud Chioléro, Katerina Maximova, Brice Batomen, Sarah Carsley
article en

Abstract

Addressing unhealthy movement behaviours in adolescence could reduce socioeconomic inequalities in adult cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Among 6608 adolescents enrolled in the Add Health cohort (1994-1995) and followed into adulthood (2016-2018), movement behaviours (physical activity, screen time, sleep) were classified as healthy or unhealthy based on adherence to the 24-Hour Movement Guidelines. Parental education and family financial hardship captured socioeconomic position (SEP). The outcome was 30-year CVD risk in adulthood. G-formula-based causal decomposition quantified changes in socioeconomic inequalities under two interventional scenarios: (1) eliminating unhealthy movement behaviours across the population, (2) equalizing the low-SEP group's movement behaviour distributions to match the high-SEP group. Adolescents whose parents did not graduate from college/university had a higher adult CVD risk than those whose parents did (RD: 6.9%, RR: 1.73). Eliminating all unhealthy movement behaviours reduced the RD to 4.9% (-2.0% absolute change), while the RR remained similar (1.76). Eliminating unhealthy levels of physical activity produced the largest absolute reduction (-1.7%), with negligible reductions for screen time (-0.2%) and sleep (-0.2%). The equalization scenario had minimal impact, and results were similar for family financial hardship. Whole-population interventions targeting unhealthy adolescent movement behaviours, particularly physical activity, may reduce absolute socioeconomic inequalities in adult CVD risk.

American Journal of Epidemiology
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (US), St. Michael's Hospital (CA), Massachusetts Department of Public Health (US), Harvard University (US), University of Fribourg (CH), Hospital for Sick Children (CA), McGill University Health Centre (CA), Swiss School of Public Health (CH), Health Solutions (Sweden) (SE), Public Health Ontario (CA), Institute of Population and Public Health (CA), St Michael’s Hospital (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 11%
Cardiac Health and Mental Health
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