LAB #2339 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 31.2% to 35.6% (+ — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 31.2% to 35.6% (+4.4pp, n=432) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the phase distance TIGHT (≤2°) filter to the 10 live trades above would have removed the 5 trades with the widest phase separation. Based on the backtest delta (+4.4pp win rate), roughly 2 of the 5 losses (USDJPY SHORT, GBPUSD SHORT, XAUUSD SHORT x2, EURJPY SHORT) would likely have been filtered out, converting the window from 5W/5L to approximately 5W/3L. Expected PnL delta is positive but modest — roughly +0.5R to +1.0R net, since the filter also removes some winners (e.g., EURJPY LONG may have been borderline). The key risk is that the filter's benefit is concentrated in choppy regimes; in trending windows it could cut profitable counter-trend entries. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, a +4.4pp win-rate improvement on n=432 suggests a real but fragile edge — likely driven by rem Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com