A physics-informed spatiotemporal downscaling model for kilometer-scale hourly humid heat stress indices

High-resolution humid heat stress indices, characterizing the interactive physiological effects of temperature and humidity, are vital for precision heat-health assessment and climate adaptation. However, existing coarse-resolution datasets smooth fine-scale spatial heterogeneity and may therefore underestimated localized heat extremes. Statistical downscaling can enhance spatial resolution, but its reliance on empirical relationships provides limited constraints on nonlinear land-atmosphere interactions, potentially introducing physically inconsistent biases. Here, we develop a physics-informed spatiotemporal (PIST) downscaling model that integrate surface energy balance and horizontal advection into a statistical framework. By fusing multisource data, our model reconstructs for humid heat stress indices at hourly and 1-km resolution. Applied to the Yangtze River Delta during the warm season (May–October) of 2020, the model performs consistently well across the four indices, with root mean square errors (RMSEs) ranging from 2.24 to 3.98 °C and R2 values exceeding 0.88. Compared with conventional statistical downscaling, PIST reduces RMSE by 53–62%. The incorporation of physical constraints also improves the representation of extreme heat, increasing upper-tail dependence from 0.4 to above 0.8 and reducing systematic biases over urban areas. Overall, PIST exemplifies Digital Earth methodology by transforming geospatial observations into high-resolution, decision-relevant climate information, supporting heat health assessment and urban climate adaptation.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Digital Earth
Published
2026-09-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/17538947.2026.2731676
Primary Topic
Urban Heat Island Mitigation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

A physics-informed spatiotemporal downscaling model for kilometer-scale hourly humid heat stress indices

Xilin Wu, Mengxiao Liu, Yong Ge, Bo Li et al.
International Journal of Digital Earth
Urban Heat Island Mitigation
article

A physics-informed spatiotemporal downscaling model for kilometer-scale hourly humid heat stress indices

Xilin Wu, Mengxiao Liu, Yong Ge, Bo Li, Jun Wang
article en

Abstract

High-resolution humid heat stress indices, characterizing the interactive physiological effects of temperature and humidity, are vital for precision heat-health assessment and climate adaptation. However, existing coarse-resolution datasets smooth fine-scale spatial heterogeneity and may therefore underestimated localized heat extremes. Statistical downscaling can enhance spatial resolution, but its reliance on empirical relationships provides limited constraints on nonlinear land-atmosphere interactions, potentially introducing physically inconsistent biases. Here, we develop a physics-informed spatiotemporal (PIST) downscaling model that integrate surface energy balance and horizontal advection into a statistical framework. By fusing multisource data, our model reconstructs for humid heat stress indices at hourly and 1-km resolution. Applied to the Yangtze River Delta during the warm season (May–October) of 2020, the model performs consistently well across the four indices, with root mean square errors (RMSEs) ranging from 2.24 to 3.98 °C and R2 values exceeding 0.88. Compared with conventional statistical downscaling, PIST reduces RMSE by 53–62%. The incorporation of physical constraints also improves the representation of extreme heat, increasing upper-tail dependence from 0.4 to above 0.8 and reducing systematic biases over urban areas. Overall, PIST exemplifies Digital Earth methodology by transforming geospatial observations into high-resolution, decision-relevant climate information, supporting heat health assessment and urban climate adaptation.

International Journal of Digital EarthVol. 19(2)
Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Washington University in St. Louis (US), Department of Environment and Natural Resources (PH), Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences (CN), Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research (CN), Jiangxi Normal University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 18%
Urban Heat Island Mitigation
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