LAB #2260 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 31.6% to 43.8% ( — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 31.6% to 43.8% (+12.2pp, n=121) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the ACCUMULATION filter to the 10 live trades above would have blocked the 4 rizzy5m XAUUSD shorts (all losses) and likely the GBPUSD SHORT (loss), removing 5 losing trades. It would also have blocked the EURJPY LONG (win) and GBPUSD LONG (win), removing 2 winners. Net effect: 5 losses removed, 2 wins removed — PnL delta is roughly neutral to slightly positive (removing 5 losses outweighs losing 2 wins, but the two wins were larger relative to the small XAUUSD losses). The open USDJPY SHORT is unaffected. Expected win rate on remaining trades would jump from 3/10 to 3/5 (60%), but sample is tiny. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3-6 months, the +12.2pp win-rate improvement (n=121) suggests a real regime filter, but the risk is overfitting to a specific quarterly phase label that may not per Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com