LAB #2173 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 31.9% to 36.1% (+ — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 31.9% to 36.1% (+4.2pp, n=421) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the phase-distance filter (≤2°) to the 10 live trades above would have excluded the three XAUUSD SHORTs (all losses) and likely the EURJPY SHORT (win, but phase distance unknown). That removes 3 losses and 1 win, shifting the window from 5W/5L to 4W/2L — a raw win-rate jump from 50% to ~67% on remaining trades. PnL delta is positive but modest: you avoid ~3 losing trades (each ~1R) while sacrificing one winner (~1R), netting roughly +2R over the window. However, the sample is tiny and the filter would also have blocked the GBPUSD LONG win (if phase distance was tight), so the real effect is closer to +1R. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, the +4.2pp win-rate gain (n=421) is statistically meaningful but not transformative — it likely comes from cutting marginal setups near phase bou Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com