Conclusions from an integral equation about the prevalence-odds in the illness-death model for chronic diseases
This research note explores the mathematical structure of the prevalence-odds integral equation for chronic disease dynamics recently formulated by Saem and Brinks (2024). We provide a rigorous derivation of the Brunet- Struchiner partial differential equation from the integral representation under duration-independent mortality. Furthermore, we examine the strict limiting conditions under which the integral collapses into the classical epidemiological heuristic that prevalence-odds is the product of incidence and disease duration.
Authors
- Ralph Brinks (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0961-6592)
Institutions
- Witten/Herdecke University (DE)
- Rheumazentrum Ruhrgebiet (DE)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
- Published
- 2026-09-14
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22745833
- Primary Topic
- Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
- Type
- preprint