Inefficient consumption of natural gas drives methane emissions from a megacity

Reducing methane emissions offers a significant near-term opportunity for climate mitigation if the dominant sources are effectively targeted. Natural gas is a large and manageable methane source. Despite extensive pipeline upgrades in cities, methane reductions remain far smaller than expected, suggesting missing emission pathways. Using long-term tower observations in a U.S. megacity, we found a strong seasonal cycle in methane emissions peaking during the winter heating and summer cooling seasons. Natural gas methane emissions dominated both seasons and were strongly correlated with consumption, yielding a loss rate of 1.7±0.6 %, equivalent to about 300×10 6 USD yr −1 of unused natural gas. Incomplete combustion was the primary natural gas signal observed, indicating future mitigation planning should prioritize inefficient natural gas consumption.

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Publication Details

Journal
Atmospheric chemistry and physics
Published
2026-09-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-12911-2026
Primary Topic
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Inefficient consumption of natural gas drives methane emissions from a megacity

Dylan B. Millet, Andrew Hallward-Driemeier, Luke D. Schiferl, Michael P. Vermeuel et al.
Atmospheric chemistry and physics
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
article

Inefficient consumption of natural gas drives methane emissions from a megacity

Dylan B. Millet, Andrew Hallward-Driemeier, Luke D. Schiferl, Michael P. Vermeuel, R. Commane, Delphine K. Farmer, Yuwei Zhao, Trey Maddaleno
article en

Abstract

Reducing methane emissions offers a significant near-term opportunity for climate mitigation if the dominant sources are effectively targeted. Natural gas is a large and manageable methane source. Despite extensive pipeline upgrades in cities, methane reductions remain far smaller than expected, suggesting missing emission pathways. Using long-term tower observations in a U.S. megacity, we found a strong seasonal cycle in methane emissions peaking during the winter heating and summer cooling seasons. Natural gas methane emissions dominated both seasons and were strongly correlated with consumption, yielding a loss rate of 1.7±0.6 %, equivalent to about 300×10 6 USD yr −1 of unused natural gas. Incomplete combustion was the primary natural gas signal observed, indicating future mitigation planning should prioritize inefficient natural gas consumption.

Atmospheric chemistry and physicsVol. 26(17)
University of Minnesota (US), Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory (US), Purdue University West Lafayette (US), Columbia University (US), Colorado State University (US)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 13%
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
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