Patagonian Ice Sheet discharge enhanced by AMOC slowdown through thermal bipolar seesaw

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) transports heat globally, and its potential weakening would be crucial for future climate projections. Valuable insights into climatic impacts of AMOC slowdowns can be gained from the last glacial period, when millennial-scale AMOC reductions recurrently triggered large-scale reorganizations of the atmosphere-ocean system. However, hydroclimatic responses within the Southern Hemisphere Westerly Wind (SWW) belt—a key region for the global carbon cycle—remain poorly constrained. Here we present a marine sediment record from ~150 km offshore Chile in the eastern South Pacific that documents millennial-scale increases in detrital discharge from the western Patagonian Ice Sheet, temporally associated with AMOC slowdowns. These discharge events likely resulted from ice-sheet expansion and the associated marginal melt linked to gradually enhanced orographic precipitation under SWW and temperature rise. Our simulations with a coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model support enhanced precipitation along the Chilean margin south of 45°S and warming-induced melting due to millennial-scale AMOC slowdowns. The precipitation increase reflects the progressive southward intensification of the SWW and the enhanced sea-surface evaporation resulting from Southern Ocean warming through the thermal bipolar seesaw. Together, proxy and modeling results demonstrate that abrupt AMOC slowdowns drove coupled atmospheric-oceanic responses in the South Pacific that promoted Patagonian hydroclimate and ice-sheet changes and may have amplified wind-driven ventilation of the Southern Ocean. These findings highlight the tight coupling between interhemispheric atmospheric and oceanic circulation, cryosphere dynamics, and the global carbon cycle, and raise the possibility of future abrupt shifts in far-field hydroclimate and atmospheric CO 2 .

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Journal
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Published
2026-09-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2532733123
Primary Topic
Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
Type
article
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article

Patagonian Ice Sheet discharge enhanced by AMOC slowdown through thermal bipolar seesaw

Ayako Abe‐Ouchi, Yuta Kuniyoshi, Julia Rieke Hagemann, Hitoshi Hasegawa et al.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
article

Patagonian Ice Sheet discharge enhanced by AMOC slowdown through thermal bipolar seesaw

Ayako Abe‐Ouchi, Yuta Kuniyoshi, Julia Rieke Hagemann, Hitoshi Hasegawa, Helge W. Arz, Yusuke Okazaki, Masafumi Murayama, Kana Nagashima, Shinya Iwasaki, Wing‐Le Chan, Toshio Kasuya, Frank Lamy, Carina B. Lange, Fuyuki Saito, Naomi Harada
article en

Abstract

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) transports heat globally, and its potential weakening would be crucial for future climate projections. Valuable insights into climatic impacts of AMOC slowdowns can be gained from the last glacial period, when millennial-scale AMOC reductions recurrently triggered large-scale reorganizations of the atmosphere-ocean system. However, hydroclimatic responses within the Southern Hemisphere Westerly Wind (SWW) belt—a key region for the global carbon cycle—remain poorly constrained. Here we present a marine sediment record from ~150 km offshore Chile in the eastern South Pacific that documents millennial-scale increases in detrital discharge from the western Patagonian Ice Sheet, temporally associated with AMOC slowdowns. These discharge events likely resulted from ice-sheet expansion and the associated marginal melt linked to gradually enhanced orographic precipitation under SWW and temperature rise. Our simulations with a coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model support enhanced precipitation along the Chilean margin south of 45°S and warming-induced melting due to millennial-scale AMOC slowdowns. The precipitation increase reflects the progressive southward intensification of the SWW and the enhanced sea-surface evaporation resulting from Southern Ocean warming through the thermal bipolar seesaw. Together, proxy and modeling results demonstrate that abrupt AMOC slowdowns drove coupled atmospheric-oceanic responses in the South Pacific that promoted Patagonian hydroclimate and ice-sheet changes and may have amplified wind-driven ventilation of the Southern Ocean. These findings highlight the tight coupling between interhemispheric atmospheric and oceanic circulation, cryosphere dynamics, and the global carbon cycle, and raise the possibility of future abrupt shifts in far-field hydroclimate and atmospheric CO 2 .

Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesVol. 123(38)
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey (US), Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung (DE), Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JP), Kyushu University (JP), Scripps Institution of Oceanography (US), Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde (DE), Fukui Prefectural Dinosaur Museum (JP), University of California San Diego (US), Center for Dynamic Research on High Latitude Marine Ecosystems (CL), Rutgers Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights (NL), Millennium Institute of Oceanography (CL), Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (US), Sphere Institute (US), Environmental Earth Sciences (AU), The University of Tokyo (JP), Kōchi University (JP)
Life below water, Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 15%
Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
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