Mapping Native Grass Cover with Random Forest Models: Sentinel-2 Versus Sentinel-2 Combined with Sentinel-1 SAR-Derived GLCM Texture Metrics

Temperate native grasslands in southeastern Australia have been extensively cleared for agriculture, and the remaining patches are under growing pressure from further land use change, climate variability, and invasive species. Mapping and monitoring their distribution and the cover of native and exotic grasses are critical for their conservation and management. Field-based methods are not always scalable or time-effective, and this study aimed to develop a scalable method to map and monitor the fractional cover-class maps of native C3 and native C4 grass cover as a component of remnant native grasslands on the western outskirts of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. Field-based reference data for training and validation of random forest machine learning models were collected across multiple sites in 2021. Sentinel-2 optical spectral bands and vegetation indices were used as the primary input data, and Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR)-derived Grey Level Co-occurrence Matrix (GLCM) texture metrics were assessed for their capacity to improve the model. Results show that random forest models trained on Sentinel-2 data without GLCM texture information derived from Sentinel-1 SAR data provided a moderate overall accuracy (C3: 59.1%, C4: 78.1%). Class-specific metrics showed that reliability was highest for better represented lower-cover classes, particularly the 6–25% native C3 class and the 0–5% native C4 class, while higher-cover classes were less reliable because of the limited number of training and validation samples. Grass cover fractions were modelled well for sparse to moderate grass cover, but dense grass cover was not modelled accurately, probably due to limited high-cover samples in the training dataset. Model performance was not improved by the inclusion of Sentinel-1 SAR-derived GLCM texture metrics, indicating that C-band VH-polarised SAR is not sensitive to the fine-scale structural heterogeneity that characterises native grassland ecosystems. Sparse native C3 and C4 grasses could be mapped most reliably in the lower-cover classes as a component of grasslands with optical remote sensing, and the method developed here can now be applied to enable evidence-based management of grasslands, biodiversity conservation and the monitoring of grassland composition in the WGR and elsewhere. Higher-resolution structural datasets and more sophisticated machine learning approaches may be required to accurately predict native C3 and C4 grass cover fractions in denser grasslands.