The Tyranny of the Present: Hyperbolic Discounting, Dynamic Inconsistency, and Intertemporal Choice Architecture in Modern Economic Systems

Neoclassical models of intertemporal choice, originating from Paul Samuelson’s Discounted Utility framework (1937), assume that economic agents discount future consumption at a constant, time-invariant exponential rate. Under this assumption, individual preferences remain dynamically consistent across all temporal horizons. However, extensive experimental and empirical evidence in behavioral economics demonstrates that human agents systematically violate stationarity, displaying a pronounced "present bias." This paper examines the mathematical foundations and macroeconomic consequences of quasi-hyperbolic (β-δ) discounting (Laibson, 1997; O'Donoghue & Rabin, 1999). We analyze how the cognitive conflict between short-term dopaminergic impulses and long-term prefrontal planning generates dynamic preference reversals, explaining persistent societal anomalies such as sub-optimal retirement savings, revolving consumer debt accumulation, and procrastination in human capital and environmental investment. Furthermore, we evaluate the political economy of digital platforms that monetize attention and instant gratification by exploiting intertemporal vulnerabilities. Finally, we explore policy-level interventions, evaluating the efficacy of asymmetric paternalism, structural commitment devices, and default choice architecture (e.g., Save More Tomorrow) in restoring long-term intertemporal rationality.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-09-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22734813
Primary Topic
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
Type
preprint
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
preprint

The Tyranny of the Present: Hyperbolic Discounting, Dynamic Inconsistency, and Intertemporal Choice Architecture in Modern Economic Systems

Karim T. Mansour Karim T. Mansour
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
preprint

The Tyranny of the Present: Hyperbolic Discounting, Dynamic Inconsistency, and Intertemporal Choice Architecture in Modern Economic Systems

Karim T. Mansour Karim T. Mansour
preprint en

Abstract

Neoclassical models of intertemporal choice, originating from Paul Samuelson’s Discounted Utility framework (1937), assume that economic agents discount future consumption at a constant, time-invariant exponential rate. Under this assumption, individual preferences remain dynamically consistent across all temporal horizons. However, extensive experimental and empirical evidence in behavioral economics demonstrates that human agents systematically violate stationarity, displaying a pronounced "present bias." This paper examines the mathematical foundations and macroeconomic consequences of quasi-hyperbolic (β-δ) discounting (Laibson, 1997; O'Donoghue & Rabin, 1999). We analyze how the cognitive conflict between short-term dopaminergic impulses and long-term prefrontal planning generates dynamic preference reversals, explaining persistent societal anomalies such as sub-optimal retirement savings, revolving consumer debt accumulation, and procrastination in human capital and environmental investment. Furthermore, we evaluate the political economy of digital platforms that monetize attention and instant gratification by exploiting intertemporal vulnerabilities. Finally, we explore policy-level interventions, evaluating the efficacy of asymmetric paternalism, structural commitment devices, and default choice architecture (e.g., Save More Tomorrow) in restoring long-term intertemporal rationality.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
General Tire (United States) (US)
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.