Preregistration: Pantheon+ Lane–Seifert Likelihood-Architecture Switch

Preregistration of a controlled likelihood-architecture switch analysis for Pantheon+ supernova cosmology. The primary objective is to determine how much the Bayes factor between timescape and spatially flat ΛCDM changes when the hierarchical Lane latent-variable architecture is replaced by the Seifert Tripp-only fixed-x1/c architecture, while holding prespecified analysis components fixed. The deposit contains the normative v0.2 preregistration master, rendered derivatives, the source-locked Delta Audit, computational-environment lock, input-hash record, and the v0.1 invariance diff. No numerical analysis of the locked data was performed before this deposit. Environment instantiation and all subsequent analysis steps are governed by the preregistered protocol. Any technically necessary environment substitution must be documented in a dated pre-analysis amendment before any locked-data run. Normative artifact:Preregistration_Lane-Seifert_Architecture-Switch_v0-2_DEPOSIT_MASTER.md Final deposit-container SHA-256:34f0a0a6dc2a8d8e51fdbe02558efa6c516e9c9e31b953415f19874ab727de38

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-09-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22727797
Primary Topic
Particle physics theoretical and experimental studies
Type
article
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Preregistration: Pantheon+ Lane–Seifert Likelihood-Architecture Switch

Harald Zierhut
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Particle physics theoretical and experimental studies
article

Preregistration: Pantheon+ Lane–Seifert Likelihood-Architecture Switch

Harald Zierhut
article en

Abstract

Preregistration of a controlled likelihood-architecture switch analysis for Pantheon+ supernova cosmology. The primary objective is to determine how much the Bayes factor between timescape and spatially flat ΛCDM changes when the hierarchical Lane latent-variable architecture is replaced by the Seifert Tripp-only fixed-x1/c architecture, while holding prespecified analysis components fixed. The deposit contains the normative v0.2 preregistration master, rendered derivatives, the source-locked Delta Audit, computational-environment lock, input-hash record, and the v0.1 invariance diff. No numerical analysis of the locked data was performed before this deposit. Environment instantiation and all subsequent analysis steps are governed by the preregistered protocol. Any technically necessary environment substitution must be documented in a dated pre-analysis amendment before any locked-data run. Normative artifact:Preregistration_Lane-Seifert_Architecture-Switch_v0-2_DEPOSIT_MASTER.md Final deposit-container SHA-256:34f0a0a6dc2a8d8e51fdbe02558efa6c516e9c9e31b953415f19874ab727de38

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Sustainable cities and communities
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Particle physics theoretical and experimental studies
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