Entanglement as a Resource for Correlation: A Quantum Circuit Born Machine for System-Wide Flight-Delay Scenario Generation from Real BTS Data

Network delays are correlated, so treating hub airports as independent can severely understate simultaneous delay events. This study formulates system-wide flight-delay scenario generation with a pure-state quantum circuit Born machine (QCBM), in which each qubit represents one hub and each computational-basis measurement produces one joint binary delay scenario. Within this unitary pure-state model, a non-entangling circuit yields a factorized distribution; entangling operations therefore provide the resource required to represent cross-hub dependence. Using 24 months of U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics data, the five-hub exact-probability finite-difference MMD simulation reduces correlation-matrix error from 0.380 for the independent model to 0.028 ± 0.010. A finite-shot SPSA simulation using 8192 shots per circuit evaluation reaches 0.060 ± 0.029 under ideal sampling and 0.066 ± 0.026 after 0.5% noise-injected training with noiseless post-training evaluation. The independent model underestimates the observed system-wide probability by 6.6-fold for five hubs and 116-fold for 10 hubs. However, second-order classical point estimates lie within the observed five-hub bootstrap interval, and classical models evaluated over the complete 32–1024-state spaces fit efficiently. No quantum advantage or physical-hardware demonstration is claimed.

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Publication Details

Journal
Quantum Reports
Published
2026-09-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/quantum8030094
Primary Topic
Air Traffic Management and Optimization
Type
article
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article

Entanglement as a Resource for Correlation: A Quantum Circuit Born Machine for System-Wide Flight-Delay Scenario Generation from Real BTS Data

Ismael Abdulrahman, Mariwan Ahmed
Quantum Reports
Air Traffic Management and Optimization
article

Entanglement as a Resource for Correlation: A Quantum Circuit Born Machine for System-Wide Flight-Delay Scenario Generation from Real BTS Data

Ismael Abdulrahman, Mariwan Ahmed
article en

Abstract

Network delays are correlated, so treating hub airports as independent can severely understate simultaneous delay events. This study formulates system-wide flight-delay scenario generation with a pure-state quantum circuit Born machine (QCBM), in which each qubit represents one hub and each computational-basis measurement produces one joint binary delay scenario. Within this unitary pure-state model, a non-entangling circuit yields a factorized distribution; entangling operations therefore provide the resource required to represent cross-hub dependence. Using 24 months of U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics data, the five-hub exact-probability finite-difference MMD simulation reduces correlation-matrix error from 0.380 for the independent model to 0.028 ± 0.010. A finite-shot SPSA simulation using 8192 shots per circuit evaluation reaches 0.060 ± 0.029 under ideal sampling and 0.066 ± 0.026 after 0.5% noise-injected training with noiseless post-training evaluation. The independent model underestimates the observed system-wide probability by 6.6-fold for five hubs and 116-fold for 10 hubs. However, second-order classical point estimates lie within the observed five-hub bootstrap interval, and classical models evaluated over the complete 32–1024-state spaces fit efficiently. No quantum advantage or physical-hardware demonstration is claimed.

Quantum ReportsVol. 8(3)
Sulaimani Polytechnic University (IQ)
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Air Traffic Management and Optimization
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