Impact of treatment duration on tuberculosis dynamics in a population

This study develops a time-delay SEITS model to analyze how treatment duration influences tuberculosis transmission dynamics. The basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is derived as an epidemic threshold. Theoretical analysis shows that while the endemic equilibrium is generally stable, introducing treatment delay alone can induce sustained periodic oscillations through Hopf bifurcation. However, concurrent latent delay suppresses this oscillatory behavior. Numerical simulations further suggest that, under [Formula: see text], sufficiently large values of [Formula: see text] may drive the system back into a Hopf bifurcation region and generate persistent oscillations. These findings highlight that shortening treatment duration is crucial not only for reducing transmission but also for stabilizing disease dynamics and improving the precision of public health interventions.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Biomathematics
Published
2026-09-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1142/s1793524526501019
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
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article
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article

Impact of treatment duration on tuberculosis dynamics in a population

Hui Cao, Yanfei Du, Lei Han
International Journal of Biomathematics
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
article

Impact of treatment duration on tuberculosis dynamics in a population

Hui Cao, Yanfei Du, Lei Han
article en

Abstract

This study develops a time-delay SEITS model to analyze how treatment duration influences tuberculosis transmission dynamics. The basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is derived as an epidemic threshold. Theoretical analysis shows that while the endemic equilibrium is generally stable, introducing treatment delay alone can induce sustained periodic oscillations through Hopf bifurcation. However, concurrent latent delay suppresses this oscillatory behavior. Numerical simulations further suggest that, under [Formula: see text], sufficiently large values of [Formula: see text] may drive the system back into a Hopf bifurcation region and generate persistent oscillations. These findings highlight that shortening treatment duration is crucial not only for reducing transmission but also for stabilizing disease dynamics and improving the precision of public health interventions.

International Journal of Biomathematics
Twitter (United States) (US)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
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