LAB #2015 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: EURUSD LONG — improves win rate from 31.9% to 34.8% (+2.8pp, n=46) — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: EURUSD LONG — improves win rate from 31.9% to 34.8% (+2.8pp, n=46) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying a EURUSD LONG-only filter would have had zero direct impact on the current live window, as none of the ten listed trades are EURUSD. The filter would not have blocked or altered any of the XAUUSD, AUDUSD, USDCAD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, or EURJPY positions. Therefore, the win-rate delta of +2.8pp from the backtest (n=46) cannot be validated or refuted here — it is orthogonal to this sample. Expected PnL delta in this window: $0, with no trade count change. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3-6 months, a EURUSD LONG-only filter would reduce total trade frequency (since it excludes EURUSD shorts and all other pairs), likely improving win rate per trade but possibly lowering absolute PnL due to fewer opportunities. The +2.8pp improvement is modest and may be curve-fit to a small sample (n=46); real-world slippage, spread, Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-09-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22689426
Primary Topic
Intelligence, Security, War Strategy
Type
preprint
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
preprint

LAB #2015 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: EURUSD LONG — improves win rate from 31.9% to 34.8% (+2.8pp, n=46) — E8 Intelligence Research

Andrew Stewart Caldin
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Intelligence, Security, War Strategy
preprint

LAB #2015 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: EURUSD LONG — improves win rate from 31.9% to 34.8% (+2.8pp, n=46) — E8 Intelligence Research

Andrew Stewart Caldin
preprint en

Abstract

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: EURUSD LONG — improves win rate from 31.9% to 34.8% (+2.8pp, n=46) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying a EURUSD LONG-only filter would have had zero direct impact on the current live window, as none of the ten listed trades are EURUSD. The filter would not have blocked or altered any of the XAUUSD, AUDUSD, USDCAD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, or EURJPY positions. Therefore, the win-rate delta of +2.8pp from the backtest (n=46) cannot be validated or refuted here — it is orthogonal to this sample. Expected PnL delta in this window: $0, with no trade count change. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3-6 months, a EURUSD LONG-only filter would reduce total trade frequency (since it excludes EURUSD shorts and all other pairs), likely improving win rate per trade but possibly lowering absolute PnL due to fewer opportunities. The +2.8pp improvement is modest and may be curve-fit to a small sample (n=46); real-world slippage, spread, Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Intelligence, Security, War Strategy
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

LAB #2015 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: EURUSD LONG — improves win rate from 31.9% to 34.8% (+2.8pp, n=46) — E8 Intelligence Research — Andrew Stewart Caldin · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS