LAB #2029 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 31.9% to 36.3% (+ — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 31.9% to 36.3% (+4.3pp, n=416) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the phase-distance TIGHT (≤2°) filter would have excluded the XAUUSD SHORT entries at 4048.74 and 4051.79 (both losses) and likely the 4066.35 loss as well, given their clustered timing and phase proximity. That removes 3 of 4 losing XAUUSD trades from the window, leaving the AUDUSD, USDCAD, and EURJPY wins intact. Expected win-rate in this window would rise from 5/10 (50%) to 5/7 (71%), with PnL improving by roughly +2R to +3R (assuming ~1R risk per trade). However, the USDJPY SHORT (open) and GBPUSD SHORT (loss) are not phase-filtered, so the filter does not rescue all losers — it selectively removes the XAUUSD cluster. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, a +4.3pp win-rate gain on n=416 suggests the filter is genuinely separating higher-probability phase alignments, but the sample Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com