Exploring the Influence Mechanism of Construction Project Organizational Capabilities in Digital Construction Mode: Evidence Based on Dynamic Bayesian Network

The wave of digital transformation has driven profound changes in construction mode. As the core driving force for the sustainable development of digital construction, organizational capabilities have gradually attracted widespread attention from both the academic community and practitioners. This study comprehensively analyzes the structural dimensions and influencing factors of construction project organizations’ capabilities in digital construction mode. Further, employing an analytical approach based on dynamic Bayesian networks, the organizational capability model is constructed to explore the key dimensions, influencing factors, and influence paths of organizational capabilities from a dynamic perspective. The results show that innovation capabilities serve as the pivotal drivers for advancing organizational capabilities, with a probability reaching 88.40%. In the short term, simultaneously enhancing innovation capabilities and leadership capabilities has the best effect on improving organizational capabilities, with a probability of up to 94.89%. However, from a long-term perspective, the probability distribution of various combined strategies is similar to that of the single-dimensional strategies. Consistency in core values stands as the key influencing factor, while the two influence chains symbolizing “technical hard power” and “organizational soft power” constitute the core paths for enhancing organizational capabilities. The research findings contribute to clarifying the priority order and core factors of organizational capability development in the digital construction mode, thereby providing a quantitative decision-making basis for optimizing resource allocation in construction project organizations.