Co-Endemic Zoonoses, Divergent Dynamics: A Comparative Spatiotemporal Analysis of Crimean–Congo Hemorrhagic Fever and Brucellosis with Implications for Integrated Surveillance

Co-endemic zoonoses may occur in the same broad geographic settings but not necessarily the same communities or time periods. This study investigated whether Crimean–Congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF) and brucellosis exhibit convergent or divergent spatiotemporal patterns across geographic scales in a livestock-dependent, CCHF-endemic province of Türkiye. This retrospective study analyzed confirmed human CCHF and brucellosis cases reported to the national infectious disease surveillance system between 2011 and 2024. Temporal analyses, kernel density estimation, settlement-level random labeling, and within- and cross-disease Knox tests were performed. Among the 611 eligible cases, CCHF (n = 442; 72.3%) and brucellosis (n = 116; 19.0%) accounted for 91.3%. CCHF was strongly seasonal, with 99.3% of cases occurring between April and September, whereas brucellosis occurred throughout the year. Although broad density surfaces partially overlapped, same-settlement co-occurrence was substantially lower than expected (O/E = 0.37; p < 0.001) and remained so in the sensitivity analysis (O/E = 0.74; p = 0.001). Cross-disease analysis showed no evidence that CCHF and brucellosis occurred closer together in both space and time than expected. Annualized CCHF concentration peaked in 2020–2021, whereas brucellosis peaked in 2022–2024. Integrated surveillance may use shared regional infrastructure, but interventions should be tailored to disease-specific settlements, transmission pathways, and periods of risk.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease
Published
2026-09-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/tropicalmed11090255
Primary Topic
Viral Infections and Vectors
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
article

Co-Endemic Zoonoses, Divergent Dynamics: A Comparative Spatiotemporal Analysis of Crimean–Congo Hemorrhagic Fever and Brucellosis with Implications for Integrated Surveillance

İrem Dilaver, Serdar Karakullukçu, Meral FİDAN UÇAN, Murat Topbaş et al.
Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease
Viral Infections and Vectors
article

Co-Endemic Zoonoses, Divergent Dynamics: A Comparative Spatiotemporal Analysis of Crimean–Congo Hemorrhagic Fever and Brucellosis with Implications for Integrated Surveillance

İrem Dilaver, Serdar Karakullukçu, Meral FİDAN UÇAN, Murat Topbaş, H. Ebru Çolak, Merve Erdoğan
article en

Abstract

Co-endemic zoonoses may occur in the same broad geographic settings but not necessarily the same communities or time periods. This study investigated whether Crimean–Congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF) and brucellosis exhibit convergent or divergent spatiotemporal patterns across geographic scales in a livestock-dependent, CCHF-endemic province of Türkiye. This retrospective study analyzed confirmed human CCHF and brucellosis cases reported to the national infectious disease surveillance system between 2011 and 2024. Temporal analyses, kernel density estimation, settlement-level random labeling, and within- and cross-disease Knox tests were performed. Among the 611 eligible cases, CCHF (n = 442; 72.3%) and brucellosis (n = 116; 19.0%) accounted for 91.3%. CCHF was strongly seasonal, with 99.3% of cases occurring between April and September, whereas brucellosis occurred throughout the year. Although broad density surfaces partially overlapped, same-settlement co-occurrence was substantially lower than expected (O/E = 0.37; p < 0.001) and remained so in the sensitivity analysis (O/E = 0.74; p = 0.001). Cross-disease analysis showed no evidence that CCHF and brucellosis occurred closer together in both space and time than expected. Annualized CCHF concentration peaked in 2020–2021, whereas brucellosis peaked in 2022–2024. Integrated surveillance may use shared regional infrastructure, but interventions should be tailored to disease-specific settlements, transmission pathways, and periods of risk.

Tropical Medicine and Infectious DiseaseVol. 11(9)
Gümüşhane University (TR), Karadeniz Technical University (TR)
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 11%
Viral Infections and Vectors
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.