Financing J-Curves in Venture Capital

ABSTRACT Startups face a trade-off between short-term profitability and long-term growth. Their cash flows are said to follow a so-called J-curve. The shape of the curve depends on investors’ financing capacity: their ability to sustain prolonged periods of negative cash flow. US venture capitalists are often believed to have greater financing capacity. We examine a large Swedish dataset with detailed cash flow information. Swedish startups backed by US venture capitalists experience deeper J-curves, with larger short-term losses and higher long-term sales, relative to those backed by non-US venture capitalists. These results are consistent with US venture capitalists having greater financing capacity: they can provide more funding directly and have better access to later-stage investors.

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Publication Details

Journal
Review of Finance
Published
2026-09-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfag037
Primary Topic
Private Equity and Venture Capital
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Financing J-Curves in Venture Capital

Thomas Hellmann, Joacim Tå̊g, Alexander Montag
Review of Finance
Private Equity and Venture Capital
article

Financing J-Curves in Venture Capital

Thomas Hellmann, Joacim Tå̊g, Alexander Montag
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT Startups face a trade-off between short-term profitability and long-term growth. Their cash flows are said to follow a so-called J-curve. The shape of the curve depends on investors’ financing capacity: their ability to sustain prolonged periods of negative cash flow. US venture capitalists are often believed to have greater financing capacity. We examine a large Swedish dataset with detailed cash flow information. Swedish startups backed by US venture capitalists experience deeper J-curves, with larger short-term losses and higher long-term sales, relative to those backed by non-US venture capitalists. These results are consistent with US venture capitalists having greater financing capacity: they can provide more funding directly and have better access to later-stage investors.

Review of Finance
University of Warwick (GB), Science Oxford (GB), Hanken School of Economics (FI)
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Private Equity and Venture Capital
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