LAB #1877 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 31.9% to 44.2% ( — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 31.9% to 44.2% (+12.2pp, n=120) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the ACCUMULATION-phase filter to the current live window would have blocked the three rizzy5m SHORT trades (GBPUSD, XAUUSD ×2) and the EURJPY SHORT — all of which were losses or marginal wins. That removes 4 of 9 trades, eliminating 3 losses and 1 win, leaving the 5 remaining trades (4 wins, 1 open/rejected) — win rate would jump from ~4/8 closed (50%) to 4/4 closed (100%), and PnL would improve by avoiding the three losing shorts. However, the filter would also block the EURJPY SHORT win, so net PnL delta is positive but not as dramatic as win-rate suggests — roughly +2.1R if losses averaged −1R and the win was +1.5R. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, the filter likely reduces trade frequency by ~30–40% (only ACCUMULATION quarters), which is acceptable if the win-rate edge holds Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com