Assessing the Value of FY-4A/B Cloud-Top Height for Deep Learning-Based Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation over the Western North Pacific
Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity estimation over the western North Pacific remains affected by uncertainties in satellite observations, best-track records, and rapidly evolving inner-core structures. To further exploit information on cloud-system vertical structure and its temporal evolution, this study introduces FY-4A/B cloud-top height (CTH) products and develops CTH-TCNet, a three-branch gated-fusion model that integrates infrared brightness temperature, CMORPH precipitation, and multidimensional CTH information for TC intensity estimation. The model consists of a CNN-based spatial branch, an LSTM-based temporal branch representing CTH evolution over the preceding 12 h, and a shortcut branch preserving current-time CTH statistics. Systematic ablation experiments show that the contribution of CTH is closely related to its representation and fusion strategy. Directly adding a single-time-step two-dimensional CTH field as an additional spatial channel provides no further performance gain, whereas historical CTH evolution and current-time CTH statistics provide complementary information. Jointly representing these two types of information through the temporal and shortcut branches yields the best performance. The final model achieves an MAE of 6.26 kt and an RMSE of 7.41 kt on the test sets. Intensity-stratified results further show that CTH generally provides larger improvements for TY, STY, and Super TY than for TS. Interpretability analyses indicate that, as TC intensity increases, the model exhibits greater reliance on CTH temporal evolution and structural information from the inner-core and eyewall-adjacent regions, with these dependence patterns being broadly consistent with known characteristics of TC inner-core convective organization and eyewall-related structures. These results indicate that FY-4A/B CTH provides valuable complementary structural and temporal information for satellite-based TC intensity estimation.
Authors
- 黄 喜淑
- Xinyi Chen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3321-2483)
- Yuan Sun (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1918-6752)
- Wei Zhong
- Hongrang He
- Chaoxiong Xu
Institutions
- National University of Defense Technology (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Remote Sensing
- Published
- 2026-09-04
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18173030
- Primary Topic
- Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China