Satellite observations, plume dynamics, and volcanic lightning from the 2023 eruption of Shishaldin Volcano, Alaska

Abstract The 2023 eruption of Shishaldin Volcano, Alaska, provided an unusually well-monitored example of a “dry” (non-hydromagmatic) explosive basaltic eruption with sustained, buoyant plumes, and pyroclastic density currents. Here, we examine the 13 basaltic paroxysms that occurred between July and November 2023 using geostationary satellite observations, plume modeling, and volcanic lightning detection to characterize mass eruption rates and plume dynamics. We show that seven volcanic plumes reached 10–14 km above sea level, sustained for minutes to tens of minutes. Translating plume heights into mass eruption rates, using both empirical scaling and one-dimensional plume modeling, gives peak rates of 10 4 –10 7 kg·s −1 and a total erupted volume of ~ 0.05 km 3 (dense rock equivalent) across the eruption sequence. Despite the moderate intensity of this eruption, automated satellite detection algorithms generally failed to detect volcanic ash. We attribute this persistent challenge to the fines-poor grain size distribution of the eruption. Volcanic lightning provides an additional window into the eruption dynamics. A total of 491 volcanic lightning flashes were detected, concentrated during seven of the most energetic phases. The timing of this electrical activity suggests that lightning only became detectable by the global lightning monitoring network when plumes ascended to atmospheric levels favorable for ice formation. Based on the available data, we infer that the low fine ash content of the plumes, combined with minimal water and ice, led to the overall modest rates of lightning (1–13 flashes per minute) compared to “wet” eruptions of similar intensity. These results show that combining satellite observations, plume modeling, and lightning detection provides a valuable timeline of eruptive intensity, even for “dry” basaltic eruptions in remote locations.