Global Estimate of Reservoir Hydropower Storage Potential Based on SWOT Observations

Abstract Hydropower is pivotal to the global transition toward carbon‐neutral energy, yet its actual potential remains constrained by uncertainties. Global assessments have traditionally relied on static metrics, such as dam height, which obscure the dynamic water fluctuations that govern operational reliability. Here, we leverage primary observations from the novel Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) satellite to construct the first global, observation‐based inventory of energy storage potential for 4,025 major reservoirs. We find that the global average hydraulic head was 32.13 ± 0.64 m in 2024, but with significant spatial heterogeneity shaped by topography and substantial intra‐annual variability. Fluctuations mostly exceed 10 m in monsoonal and arid regions, indicating greater variability in the head‐related component of hydropower storage potential. By generalizing these observations to the world's reservoirs (totally 26,388, >1 km 2 ), we quantify the global energy storage potential at 638.14 ± 218.52 TWh. Crucially, we identify a latent opportunity in non‐powered dams: retrofitting existing structures could unlock an additional gross theoretical energy storage potential of 84.88 ± 81.90 TWh, equivalent to 15.34% of current storage in powered dams, without considering engineering and operational constraints. By accumulating global reservoir energy storage potential based on commissioning dates and present‐day attributes, our analysis further reveals that this potential has expanded eightfold since 1960, with development shifting decisively from industrialized nations to developing regions. This satellite‐based assessment provides quantitative information on reservoir energy storage dynamics that can inform global energy‐system modeling, water‐energy planning, and evaluations of hydropower's potential contribution to decarbonization.

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Publication Details

Journal
Earth s Future
Published
2026-09-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2026ef008836
Primary Topic
Water resources management and optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Global Estimate of Reservoir Hydropower Storage Potential Based on SWOT Observations

Jida Wang, Yiguang Zou, Chunqiao Song, Hui Zhang et al.
Earth s Future
Water resources management and optimization
article

Global Estimate of Reservoir Hydropower Storage Potential Based on SWOT Observations

Jida Wang, Yiguang Zou, Chunqiao Song, Hui Zhang, Lin Huang, Kai Liu, Yaling Lin, Pengfei Zhan, Xiaomei Fan, Fanxuan Zeng
article en

Abstract

Abstract Hydropower is pivotal to the global transition toward carbon‐neutral energy, yet its actual potential remains constrained by uncertainties. Global assessments have traditionally relied on static metrics, such as dam height, which obscure the dynamic water fluctuations that govern operational reliability. Here, we leverage primary observations from the novel Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) satellite to construct the first global, observation‐based inventory of energy storage potential for 4,025 major reservoirs. We find that the global average hydraulic head was 32.13 ± 0.64 m in 2024, but with significant spatial heterogeneity shaped by topography and substantial intra‐annual variability. Fluctuations mostly exceed 10 m in monsoonal and arid regions, indicating greater variability in the head‐related component of hydropower storage potential. By generalizing these observations to the world's reservoirs (totally 26,388, >1 km 2 ), we quantify the global energy storage potential at 638.14 ± 218.52 TWh. Crucially, we identify a latent opportunity in non‐powered dams: retrofitting existing structures could unlock an additional gross theoretical energy storage potential of 84.88 ± 81.90 TWh, equivalent to 15.34% of current storage in powered dams, without considering engineering and operational constraints. By accumulating global reservoir energy storage potential based on commissioning dates and present‐day attributes, our analysis further reveals that this potential has expanded eightfold since 1960, with development shifting decisively from industrialized nations to developing regions. This satellite‐based assessment provides quantitative information on reservoir energy storage dynamics that can inform global energy‐system modeling, water‐energy planning, and evaluations of hydropower's potential contribution to decarbonization.

Earth s FutureVol. 14(9)
Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine (CN), University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (US), National University of Singapore (SG), Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (CN), Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology (CN), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Openalex Percentile: Top 15%
Water resources management and optimization
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