New edge proposed: v_wap_reversion_after_extended_drift — E8 Intelligence Research
{ "name": "v_wap_reversion_after_extended_drift", "source": "VWAP mean-reversion literature (e.g., Almgren, Chriss; institutional desk practice)", "type": "entry_engine", "rule": "Enter short (long) when price closes beyond +2.5 (\u20112.5) rolling 20\u2011period VWAP standard deviation bands AND the next bar\u2019s open is within 0.2 ATR of the band edge, with the prior 5 bars\u2019 cumulative signed volume (close\u2011open) opposite to the drift direction.", "pseudocode": "if bar t close > vwap_band_high (2.5\u03c3) and cum_signed_vol(last 5 bars) < 0 \u2192 entry short at t+1 open if |open - band_high| <= 0.2*ATR14 \u2192 exit at vwap or +1.5 ATR stop. Symmetric for long.", "why_it_works": "Extended price dislocation from volume\u2011weighted mean coupled with disappearing trend\u2011aligned volume signals a high\u2011probability reversion as liquidity absorbs the imbalance." } Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com
Authors
- Andrew Stewart Caldin
Publication Details
- Journal
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
- Published
- 2026-09-01
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22230036
- Primary Topic
- Intelligence, Security, War Strategy
- Type
- preprint