Stochastic Portfolio Theory, Machine-Checked: What Is Proven, What Is Sealed Against Mathlib, and What Stays a Modeling Assumption
Stochastic Portfolio Theory provides a model-free framework in which functionally generated portfolios track the market index up to two terms: a boundary term in the generating function and the time-integral of an excess growth rate. We formalize the logical skeleton of this framework in a proof kernel and report, with deliberate precision, which parts are derived and which are assumed. Three tiers result. (i) The elementary algebra of diversification — that a component-weighted average variance dominates the corresponding diagonal basket variance — is derived from first principles as a sum-of-squares certificate, generalized term-by-term beyond the two-asset case; with full correlation, the excess growth of an arbitrary portfolio is a non-negatively weighted sum of pairwise return-difference variances, \gamma^{}_\pi = \tfrac12\sum_{i
Authors
- Tamás Nagy (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0004-8079-4679)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
- Published
- 2026-09-01
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22223908
- Primary Topic
- Risk and Portfolio Optimization
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00