Ecological theory sheds light on plasmid diversity and dynamics

Bacterial genomes are remarkably dynamic, shaped by horizontal gene transfer. Plasmids are key actors in this process, fueling rapid bacterial adaptation to stresses such as antibiotics. Yet, plasmids follow evolutionary trajectories of their own, defying traditional genetic frameworks. Beyond the co-evolution of traits directly involved in plasmid-host relationships, it is now essential to draw from ecological theory to understand plasmid assemblages. By viewing plasmids as ecological entities competing for a shared resource, the bacterial host, we show that their distribution within bacterial genomes mirrors the structure of ecological communities. Our minimal stochastic model, inspired by community ecology, reveals that plasmid diversity arises from the combined action of niche differentiation and neutral processes. These results challenge deterministic views of genome organization, highlighting the central role of stochasticity and drift. This work establishes a theoretical bridge between microbial genomics and ecology, offering a new framework to understand-and potentially control-the evolution of bacterial genomes.