Age-specific exposure to human-induced increases in humid heat

Children are particularly vulnerable to climate change impacts and will face intensifying effects of climate change during their lifetimes. Here, we show that children already face disproportionate exposure compared to older generations, as many live in regions hit the hardest by escalating humid heat stress. Combining demographic data with a global grid-scale attribution framework, we find that, at present-day warming levels, 2.8 to 3 times more children aged 0 to 9 years than adults aged 60 to 69 years are exposed to at least 20 additional heat stress days attributable to anthropogenic climate change based on both reanalysis (3.0 [3.0 to 3.1]) and climate models (2.8 [2.4 to 3.0]). On average, children experience 9 to 10 more attributable heat stress days than people aged 60 to 69 years (reanalysis: 9 [6 to 9]; models: 10 [6 to 13]), and this difference is likely conservative as children spend more time outdoors. This intergenerational disparity persists as overall heat stress escalates under global warming of 1.5° and 2°C, highlighting the need for mitigation and adaptation policies to protect children from heat-related health risks.

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Publication Details

Journal
Science Advances
Published
2026-08-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aeb3232
Primary Topic
Climate Change and Health Impacts
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Age-specific exposure to human-induced increases in humid heat

Rupert Stuart-Smith, Wim Thiery, Annalisa Savaresi, Erich Markus Fischer et al.
Science Advances
Climate Change and Health Impacts
article

Age-specific exposure to human-induced increases in humid heat

Rupert Stuart-Smith, Wim Thiery, Annalisa Savaresi, Erich Markus Fischer, Matthias Mengel, Luke James Harrington, Sam Adelman, Rosa Pietroiusti, Chloe Brimicombe
article en

Abstract

Children are particularly vulnerable to climate change impacts and will face intensifying effects of climate change during their lifetimes. Here, we show that children already face disproportionate exposure compared to older generations, as many live in regions hit the hardest by escalating humid heat stress. Combining demographic data with a global grid-scale attribution framework, we find that, at present-day warming levels, 2.8 to 3 times more children aged 0 to 9 years than adults aged 60 to 69 years are exposed to at least 20 additional heat stress days attributable to anthropogenic climate change based on both reanalysis (3.0 [3.0 to 3.1]) and climate models (2.8 [2.4 to 3.0]). On average, children experience 9 to 10 more attributable heat stress days than people aged 60 to 69 years (reanalysis: 9 [6 to 9]; models: 10 [6 to 13]), and this difference is likely conservative as children spend more time outdoors. This intergenerational disparity persists as overall heat stress escalates under global warming of 1.5° and 2°C, highlighting the need for mitigation and adaptation policies to protect children from heat-related health risks.

Science AdvancesVol. 12(35)
University of Stirling (GB), Vrije Universiteit Brussel (BE), University of Eastern Finland (FI), Oxford Policy Management (GB), ETH Zurich (CH), University of Warwick (GB), University of Oxford (GB), University of Waikato (NZ), Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (DE)
Vrije Universiteit Brussel, European Research Council, Center for Global Health
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 12%
Climate Change and Health Impacts
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