Pressure-aware multi-modal CO2 transport planning for industrial decarbonization: A case study of Germany's steel sector to 2050

Multi-modal CO 2 transport networks involve coupled decisions on operating pressure, mode-switching equipment, and infrastructure deployment timing, yet existing optimization studies typically treat the associated compression, liquefaction, and heat exchange as post-processing assumptions. This study develops a pressure-aware mixed-integer linear programming framework for multi-modal CO 2 transport planning that couples mode selection with pressure-state-dependent conditioning, allowing pressure regimes and mode transitions to be optimized jointly. The framework integrates phased deployment across three time horizons (2030, 2040, 2050) under three decarbonization pathways, carbon pricing for uncaptured emissions, and selective reuse of existing pipelines within a single optimization. Seven mode-pressure variants are considered, with mode-transition costs derived from a 49-transition simulation matrix. The framework is applied to twelve major German steel emitters connected to the Northern Lights offshore storage site via three candidate ports. The cost-optimal network shifts from truck-and-rail logistics in the early, low-volume stage to a dense-phase pipeline backbone as captured volumes grow. Unit transport costs remain within 15–18 €/tCO 2 across the scenarios. The marginal cost of expanding transport and conditioning capacity stabilizes at 13–14 €/tCO 2 from 2040 onward. These figures indicate that transport is not the binding economic constraint on scaling up capture ambition, rather than that CCUS as a whole is inexpensive. Existing pipeline reuse is found to be capacity- and stage-dependent: sufficiently large reused assets can reduce new-build requirements. The framework offers a transferable approach for cleaner industrial logistics design, supporting the transition to low-carbon hard-to-abate sectors in Europe and beyond.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Cleaner Production
Published
2026-08-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2026.149250
Primary Topic
Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Pressure-aware multi-modal CO2 transport planning for industrial decarbonization: A case study of Germany's steel sector to 2050

Daoyi Dong, Fengyuan Zhang, Richard Porter, Zhengyang Wang et al.
Journal of Cleaner Production
Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
article

Pressure-aware multi-modal CO2 transport planning for industrial decarbonization: A case study of Germany's steel sector to 2050

Daoyi Dong, Fengyuan Zhang, Richard Porter, Zhengyang Wang, Qi Yu, Haroun Mahgerefteh, Sergey Martynov, Elena Catalanotti, James Ciyu Qin
article en

Abstract

Multi-modal CO 2 transport networks involve coupled decisions on operating pressure, mode-switching equipment, and infrastructure deployment timing, yet existing optimization studies typically treat the associated compression, liquefaction, and heat exchange as post-processing assumptions. This study develops a pressure-aware mixed-integer linear programming framework for multi-modal CO 2 transport planning that couples mode selection with pressure-state-dependent conditioning, allowing pressure regimes and mode transitions to be optimized jointly. The framework integrates phased deployment across three time horizons (2030, 2040, 2050) under three decarbonization pathways, carbon pricing for uncaptured emissions, and selective reuse of existing pipelines within a single optimization. Seven mode-pressure variants are considered, with mode-transition costs derived from a 49-transition simulation matrix. The framework is applied to twelve major German steel emitters connected to the Northern Lights offshore storage site via three candidate ports. The cost-optimal network shifts from truck-and-rail logistics in the early, low-volume stage to a dense-phase pipeline backbone as captured volumes grow. Unit transport costs remain within 15–18 €/tCO 2 across the scenarios. The marginal cost of expanding transport and conditioning capacity stabilizes at 13–14 €/tCO 2 from 2040 onward. These figures indicate that transport is not the binding economic constraint on scaling up capture ambition, rather than that CCUS as a whole is inexpensive. Existing pipeline reuse is found to be capacity- and stage-dependent: sufficiently large reused assets can reduce new-build requirements. The framework offers a transferable approach for cleaner industrial logistics design, supporting the transition to low-carbon hard-to-abate sectors in Europe and beyond.

Journal of Cleaner ProductionVol. 575
University of Technology Sydney (AU), Tongji University (CN), ETH Zurich (CH), University College London (GB)
HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 19%
Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
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