Jury Methodology: A Pre-Registered Results Pack

Jury Methodology: A Pre-Registered Results Pack. How should an AI jury be evaluated without publishing the instruction library that makes the jury useful? This report's answer: preregister the comparison, keep the judging recipe sealed, publish result-level evidence, and preserve the failures alongside the successes. The pack records a pre-run specification followed by a post-run result on 30 July 2026 — six cases, two judging lenses, two arms, twenty-four calls, with intended measurements and a conditional decision rule fixed before outcomes were inspected. The central limitation is binding, not ceremonial: only six cases, both arms in the same model family. Every comparative interpretation is a hypothesis or tentative signal; the sample is insufficient for defensible agreement estimates, and the report makes no conclusive ranking. The planned false-positive endpoint failed because its reference had decayed. The most defensible outcome is a prospectively specified, auditable hypothesis for a hybrid jury — not a settled model ranking. Companion to the jury paper The Jury That May Not Vote for Its Own Family (10.5281/zenodo.22087249) and the campaign paper (10.5281/zenodo.22086013). Bilingual: full text in English and Turkish. AI-transparency note: an AI system assisted with source synthesis and drafting under human-defined confidentiality and evidence constraints; the named authors remain responsible for interpretation, verification, and publication. Blind cross-family jury-reviewed (producing families excluded); the judging-instruction library is deliberately withheld (citable, not copyable).

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-08-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22088055
Primary Topic
Jury Decision Making Processes
Type
preprint
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
preprint

Jury Methodology: A Pre-Registered Results Pack

Mustafa Melikoğlu, Yağız Deniz Altınbaş, Tayfun Tanrıöver
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Jury Decision Making Processes
preprint

Jury Methodology: A Pre-Registered Results Pack

Mustafa Melikoğlu, Yağız Deniz Altınbaş, Tayfun Tanrıöver
preprint en

Abstract

Jury Methodology: A Pre-Registered Results Pack. How should an AI jury be evaluated without publishing the instruction library that makes the jury useful? This report's answer: preregister the comparison, keep the judging recipe sealed, publish result-level evidence, and preserve the failures alongside the successes. The pack records a pre-run specification followed by a post-run result on 30 July 2026 — six cases, two judging lenses, two arms, twenty-four calls, with intended measurements and a conditional decision rule fixed before outcomes were inspected. The central limitation is binding, not ceremonial: only six cases, both arms in the same model family. Every comparative interpretation is a hypothesis or tentative signal; the sample is insufficient for defensible agreement estimates, and the report makes no conclusive ranking. The planned false-positive endpoint failed because its reference had decayed. The most defensible outcome is a prospectively specified, auditable hypothesis for a hybrid jury — not a settled model ranking. Companion to the jury paper The Jury That May Not Vote for Its Own Family (10.5281/zenodo.22087249) and the campaign paper (10.5281/zenodo.22086013). Bilingual: full text in English and Turkish. AI-transparency note: an AI system assisted with source synthesis and drafting under human-defined confidentiality and evidence constraints; the named authors remain responsible for interpretation, verification, and publication. Blind cross-family jury-reviewed (producing families excluded); the judging-instruction library is deliberately withheld (citable, not copyable).

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Akdeniz University (TR)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Jury Decision Making Processes
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Jury Methodology: A Pre-Registered Results Pack — Mustafa Melikoğlu, Yağız Deniz Altınbaş, et al. · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS