Assessing the Impact of Urban Boulevard Widening on Emergency Vehicle Mobility and Response Efficiency

Improving emergency vehicle mobility in congested urban environments is a critical challenge for transportation systems. Although roadway capacity expansions, such as widening roads, are often deployed to reduce congestion, their impact on emergency response performance is not always guaranteed, especially when delays concentrate at critical intersections. This study investigates how roadway capacity expansion affects emergency vehicle performance by using a microscopic traffic simulation framework. The study was applied to a real urban corridor in Mohammedia, Morocco, to provide a solid base for simulations with real-world conditions. A SUMO model was calibrated to represent two roadway configurations: a baseline two-lane layout and a three-lane post-widening scenario. Traffic volumes from 1056 to 3520 vehicles per hour were simulated, and performance was assessed using three emergency-specific indicators: Emergency Response Time (ERT), Delay Ratio (DR), and Priority Mobility Index (PMI). An initial single-run comparison suggested a substantial ERT reduction under moderate demand (343.40 s to 270.90 s, 21.11%); however, a 30-seed replication with paired Wilcoxon signed-rank tests shows that this and nearly all other widening effects are not statistically distinguishable from stochastic simulation noise. Only one of 12 emergency vehicle comparisons (Priority Mobility Index at 18:00) reached significance, and it favored the baseline configuration; none of 12 general traffic comparisons improved significantly, and general traffic was significantly slower under the widened configuration at 22:00 (p < 0.01). A supplementary sensitivity analysis (±20% emergency vehicle demand share) further shows that Delay Ratio conclusions are considerably more sensitive to this assumption (up to 34% relative change) than ERT or PMI (under 8%). These findings indicate that, in this network, roadway capacity expansion alone does not deliver a statistically robust improvement in either emergency vehicle or general mobility, and that a persistent signalized-intersection bottleneck remains the dominant constraint irrespective of lane geometry. The study provides a replicable, statistically validated simulation framework for assessing roadway capacity expansion effectiveness and cautions against single-run comparisons, which can substantially overstate the causal effect of infrastructure interventions in microscopic traffic simulation studies.