Electoral competition and economic development: evidence from Pakistan

In recent years, many commentators have challenged the idea that democratic institutions are more conducive to economic growth and development. In this paper, we contribute to the literature by studying the impact of electoral competition on the provision of public goods at local levels in Pakistan from 1992 to 2018. Using data on electoral competition provided by Election Commission of Pakistan and data on local economic development proxied by nighttime light data, and applying ordinary least square (OLS) technique, our findings suggest that electoral competition improves the provision of public goods. Baseline estimates show an increase in nighttime light intensity by around 9%–11% in electorally competitive constituencies than non-competitive constituencies, corresponding to an increase in local GDP of around 2.7%–3.4%.

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Publication Details

Journal
Oxford Development Studies
Published
2026-08-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/13600818.2026.2720357
Primary Topic
Local Government Finance and Decentralization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Electoral competition and economic development: evidence from Pakistan

Victor Codeceira, Akseer Hussain
Oxford Development Studies
Local Government Finance and Decentralization
article

Electoral competition and economic development: evidence from Pakistan

Victor Codeceira, Akseer Hussain
article en

Abstract

In recent years, many commentators have challenged the idea that democratic institutions are more conducive to economic growth and development. In this paper, we contribute to the literature by studying the impact of electoral competition on the provision of public goods at local levels in Pakistan from 1992 to 2018. Using data on electoral competition provided by Election Commission of Pakistan and data on local economic development proxied by nighttime light data, and applying ordinary least square (OLS) technique, our findings suggest that electoral competition improves the provision of public goods. Baseline estimates show an increase in nighttime light intensity by around 9%–11% in electorally competitive constituencies than non-competitive constituencies, corresponding to an increase in local GDP of around 2.7%–3.4%.

Oxford Development Studies
University of York (GB), University of Buckingham (GB)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 3%
Local Government Finance and Decentralization
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