Mix&Fix-Net: A dual-stage trajectory prediction model for AIS and vision-derived vessel data

Vessel trajectory prediction is critical for maritime safety and accident prevention. While most existing trajectory prediction models rely on Automatic Identification System (AIS) data due to its precision and availability, small vessels mostly operate without AIS, resulting in a significant monitoring gap. To address this, we propose Mix&Fix-Net, a dual-stage mixer-based trajectory prediction model designed to handle vessel trajectory time-series data derived from both AIS and (non-AIS) vision data. Our architecture integrates a Primary Trajectory Predictor with a Residual Trajectory Adjuster, enabling more refined trajectory prediction. Additionally, we introduce a new video-based dataset derived from webcam streams, from which vessel trajectories are extracted to represent non-AIS data. Extensive evaluations on both AIS and non-AIS datasets across six metrics (mean squared error, mean absolute error, symmetric mean absolute percentage error, final displacement error, Frechet distance, and average Euclidean distance) demonstrate that Mix&Fix-Net consistently outperforms existing baselines across most metrics and datasets.

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Publication Details

Journal
Ocean Engineering
Published
2026-09-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2026.127514
Primary Topic
Maritime Navigation and Safety
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Mix&Fix-Net: A dual-stage trajectory prediction model for AIS and vision-derived vessel data

Bora San Turgut, Md Mahmuddun Nabi Murad, Yasin Yilmaz
Ocean Engineering
Maritime Navigation and Safety
article

Mix&Fix-Net: A dual-stage trajectory prediction model for AIS and vision-derived vessel data

Bora San Turgut, Md Mahmuddun Nabi Murad, Yasin Yilmaz
article en

Abstract

Vessel trajectory prediction is critical for maritime safety and accident prevention. While most existing trajectory prediction models rely on Automatic Identification System (AIS) data due to its precision and availability, small vessels mostly operate without AIS, resulting in a significant monitoring gap. To address this, we propose Mix&Fix-Net, a dual-stage mixer-based trajectory prediction model designed to handle vessel trajectory time-series data derived from both AIS and (non-AIS) vision data. Our architecture integrates a Primary Trajectory Predictor with a Residual Trajectory Adjuster, enabling more refined trajectory prediction. Additionally, we introduce a new video-based dataset derived from webcam streams, from which vessel trajectories are extracted to represent non-AIS data. Extensive evaluations on both AIS and non-AIS datasets across six metrics (mean squared error, mean absolute error, symmetric mean absolute percentage error, final displacement error, Frechet distance, and average Euclidean distance) demonstrate that Mix&Fix-Net consistently outperforms existing baselines across most metrics and datasets.

Ocean EngineeringVol. 367
University of South Florida (US), Istanbul Commerce University (TR)
National Institute of Food and Agriculture
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 26%
Maritime Navigation and Safety
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Mix&Fix-Net: A dual-stage trajectory prediction model for AIS and vision-derived vessel data — Bora San Turgut, Md Mahmuddun Nabi Murad, et al. · Ocean Engineering (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS