LAB #1279 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Phase distance MODERATE (5-10deg) — improves win rate from 31.7% to 33.3 — E8 Intelligence Research
IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Phase distance MODERATE (5-10deg) — improves win rate from 31.7% to 33.3% (+1.7pp, n=156) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Over the current live trade window, applying the MODERATE phase distance filter (5-10deg) would have rejected the GBPUSD LONG (wkjudas, entry=1.32842) and the NZDUSD LONG (wkjudas, entry=0.57702) as both are currently OPEN/REJECTED and likely fell outside the 5-10deg phase window. This would have removed two open positions, potentially reducing exposure but also eliminating any future gains from those trades. The EURJPY SHORT (fade_h4, entry=186.016) and USDCHF SHORT (rizzy5m, entry=0.81212) were already CLOSED/WIN or REJECTED, so no change there. Estimated PnL delta: neutral to slightly negative if the removed longs would have won, but positive if they would have lost — net effect uncertain given small sample. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3-6 months, the +1.7pp win-rate improvement from the b Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com
Authors
- Andrew Stewart Caldin
Publication Details
- Journal
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
- Published
- 2026-08-21
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22039982
- Primary Topic
- Intelligence, Security, War Strategy
- Type
- preprint