A model of monetary policy with negative lower bound

This article develops a parsimonious model that incorporates fundamental run risk into banks’ optimal decision-making. The model establishes the existence of a reversal rate in negative territory: below this threshold, further policy rate cuts cease to stimulate lending and instead reduce credit supply. This reversal arises from banks’ endogenous trade-off between the returns on credit assets and the liquidity costs associated with bank-run risk.

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Publication Details

Journal
Applied Economics Letters
Published
2026-08-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2026.2716907
Primary Topic
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

A model of monetary policy with negative lower bound

Jinzhi Bai, Lin Zhang, Cheng’en Li
Applied Economics Letters
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
article

A model of monetary policy with negative lower bound

Jinzhi Bai, Lin Zhang, Cheng’en Li
article en

Abstract

This article develops a parsimonious model that incorporates fundamental run risk into banks’ optimal decision-making. The model establishes the existence of a reversal rate in negative territory: below this threshold, further policy rate cuts cease to stimulate lending and instead reduce credit supply. This reversal arises from banks’ endogenous trade-off between the returns on credit assets and the liquidity costs associated with bank-run risk.

Applied Economics Letters
Southwestern University of Finance and Economics (CN), University of Economics and Law, Henan University of Economic and Law (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
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