Hierarchical Sensitivity Analysis of PV Converter Operating Profiles Under Climatic and Grid Uncertainty

Photovoltaic converters operate under varying climatic conditions and non-ideal grid regimes, but factor importance is often assessed either through isolated local metrics or through pooled operating data that hide regime shifts and interaction effects. This study develops a hierarchical framework for sensitivity analysis of operating profiles of grid-connected PV converters under climatic and grid uncertainty. A compact operating-profile formulation is introduced that relates solar radiation, cell and ambient temperature, grid voltage, load, and selected design/control parameters to active power, efficiency, power factor, harmonic distortion, DC bus ripple, clipping behavior, and thermal headroom. The proposed workflow combines local normalized sensitivities for fast ranking around nominal conditions, Morris screening for factor reduction, and Sobol/Saltelli variance-based indices for global prioritization under uncertainty. The framework is demonstrated on a 100 kW synthetic reduced-order benchmark representing a three-phase two-level grid-connected PV inverter with an LCL filter. To clarify the scope of validity, the reduced-order model is cross-checked against switching-level simulations for representative nominal, clipping-prone, high-temperature and grid-stress operating windows. The results show that factor importance is not universal, but depends on the selected KPI, operating regime and uncertainty scenario. In the considered benchmark, grid voltage, cell temperature and equivalent thermal resistance are the dominant total-effect contributors, while the strongest second-order contribution appears between grid voltage and filter inductance under grid-stress conditions. The proposed framework is therefore intended as a reproducible, regime-aware sensitivity workflow rather than as a universal ranking of PV converter parameters.

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Publication Details

Journal
Processes
Published
2026-08-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14162677
Primary Topic
Microgrid Control and Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Hierarchical Sensitivity Analysis of PV Converter Operating Profiles Under Climatic and Grid Uncertainty

Silvia Baeva, Mirjana Kocaleva, Ivelina Hinova
Processes
Microgrid Control and Optimization
article

Hierarchical Sensitivity Analysis of PV Converter Operating Profiles Under Climatic and Grid Uncertainty

Silvia Baeva, Mirjana Kocaleva, Ivelina Hinova
article en

Abstract

Photovoltaic converters operate under varying climatic conditions and non-ideal grid regimes, but factor importance is often assessed either through isolated local metrics or through pooled operating data that hide regime shifts and interaction effects. This study develops a hierarchical framework for sensitivity analysis of operating profiles of grid-connected PV converters under climatic and grid uncertainty. A compact operating-profile formulation is introduced that relates solar radiation, cell and ambient temperature, grid voltage, load, and selected design/control parameters to active power, efficiency, power factor, harmonic distortion, DC bus ripple, clipping behavior, and thermal headroom. The proposed workflow combines local normalized sensitivities for fast ranking around nominal conditions, Morris screening for factor reduction, and Sobol/Saltelli variance-based indices for global prioritization under uncertainty. The framework is demonstrated on a 100 kW synthetic reduced-order benchmark representing a three-phase two-level grid-connected PV inverter with an LCL filter. To clarify the scope of validity, the reduced-order model is cross-checked against switching-level simulations for representative nominal, clipping-prone, high-temperature and grid-stress operating windows. The results show that factor importance is not universal, but depends on the selected KPI, operating regime and uncertainty scenario. In the considered benchmark, grid voltage, cell temperature and equivalent thermal resistance are the dominant total-effect contributors, while the strongest second-order contribution appears between grid voltage and filter inductance under grid-stress conditions. The proposed framework is therefore intended as a reproducible, regime-aware sensitivity workflow rather than as a universal ranking of PV converter parameters.

ProcessesVol. 14(16)
Technical University of Sofia (BG), Goce Delcev University (MK)
Technical University of Sofia
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 13%
Microgrid Control and Optimization
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