Diagnostic utility of high‐risk HPV polymerase chain reaction–based testing in head and neck FNA specimens with indeterminate cytomorphology

BACKGROUND: Fine-needle aspiration (FNA) is critical in the initial diagnosis of many high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV)-associated, metastatic oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas. Updated guidelines recommend HR-HPV-specific polymerase chain reaction (PCR) analysis over p16 immunohistochemistry on FNA specimens because p16 performs poorly on cytology material. PCR-based assays on liquid cytology material have demonstrated excellent analytic performance; however, the diagnostic utility of a positive HR-HPV PCR result in specimens with indeterminate cytomorphology remains uncharacterized. METHODS: The authors retrospectively identified 279 head and neck FNA specimens that had paired HR-HPV PCR testing on residual liquid cytology material over a 5-year period. The positive predictive value for histopathologically confirmed squamous cell carcinoma on surgical follow-up was calculated within each cytologic interpretive category. RESULTS: The HR-HPV PCR results were positive in 50.2% of specimens, negative in 40.9%, and indeterminate in 9.0%. The HR-HPV positivity rate ranged from 0% in specimens categorized as negative for malignancy to 57.3% in cytologically positive specimens, with 19.0%, 41.2%, and 50.0% positivity in the atypical, suspicious, and nondiagnostic categories, respectively. Among cytologically indeterminate specimens with positive HR-HPV PCR results (n = 14), the positive predictive value was 100% (95% confidence interval, 78.5%-100.0%). Blinded slide review additionally identified 15 cytologically positive specimens in which the definitive malignant interpretation depended substantially on HR-HPV positivity; all 15 were confirmed as squamous cell carcinoma. CONCLUSIONS: A positive HR-HPV PCR result on liquid cytology material carries a positive predictive value of 100% for malignancy in cytologically indeterminate head and neck FNA specimens. These findings support integrating HR-HPV PCR analysis into routine cytologic interpretation with the potential to upgrade some indeterminate specimens to malignant when HR-HPV is detected, expediting definitive treatment and sparing patients additional, invasive sampling.