Multiscale Damage Mechanisms and Long-Term Creep Behavior of Carnallitite

To elucidate the mechanisms responsible for the low strength, pronounced variability, and long-term deformation of carnallitite, and to provide a basis for stope parameter design in deep potash mines, two carnallitite seams from a potash mine were investigated. Group C carnallitite and Group D halite-dominated rock salt were subjected to short-term compression tests and multiscale comparative analyses, while Groups A and B carnallitite specimens were tested under multistage creep loading. Particle Flow Code (PFC) simulations were conducted to evaluate the influence of particle size distribution. The results indicate the following: (1) The representative Group C specimens exhibited an average uniaxial compressive strength of 7.83 MPa, which was substantially lower than that of Group D. The acoustic emission (AE), scanning electron microscopy (SEM), and computed tomography (CT) analyses revealed greater heterogeneity in damage evolution and failure behavior, mainly associated with polymineralic composition, weak particle–matrix interfaces, local pores, and insufficient particle connectivity. (2) Particle-scale heterogeneity influenced the load-bearing capacity of carnallitite. In the PFC sensitivity analysis, narrowing the prescribed particle-size-distribution range from 0.4–8.0 mm to 4.0–4.0 mm at a mean particle size of 4.0 mm was associated with an increase in simulated strength from 7.82 to 10.40 MPa. Because quantitative contact-network descriptors were not extracted, the corresponding contact-network interpretation is treated as mechanistic rather than direct quantitative evidence. (3) The long-term uniaxial strengths of Groups A and B were estimated as 3.3 MPa and 4.8 MPa, respectively, using the adopted specific-failure-energy method. The modified Burgers model provided a good fit to the creep data within the tested stress levels, yielding coefficients of determination of 0.957 and 0.964 and root-mean-square error (RMSE) values of 0.0803 and 0.0552 percentage points. Based on the long-term strength constraints and the site-specific design assumptions adopted in this study, the calculated inter-room pillar widths were 6 m for Group A and 4 m for Group B. These findings provide insights into the multiscale damage mechanisms and long-term stability assessment of carnallitite stopes in deep potash mines.