Antarctic Sea‐Ice Extent Anomalies Impact Interannual Variability of Phytoplankton Chlorophyll‐a in Southern Ocean Frontal Zones

Abstract The influence of sea‐ice variability on Southern Ocean phytoplankton productivity across frontal zones remains poorly quantified. Using 26 years (1998–2023) of satellite data, we quantified how sea‐ice extent anomalies (SIEA) impact surface phytoplankton Chlorophyll‐a (Chl‐a) anomalies across three frontal zones. The annual minimum (February) and annual maximum (September) sea‐ice extent declined over 1998–2023 (Sen's slope = −19,088 and −28,858 km 2 yr −1 ; Mann–Kendall p = 0.0198 and 0.0230, respectively), with a faster relative decline at the annual minimum (−0.87% yr −1 ) than at the annual maximum (−0.18% yr −1 ). Lagged correlations show positive SIEA precede enhanced Chl‐a (36%–40%, p < 0.01) in coastal and Southern Boundary zones. Post‐2015, SIEA declined by 8.1% (from 11.88 to 10.91 million km 2 , with −17.4% anomaly in 2023), and Chl‐a declined by 2.6%–6.7% across zones, indicating a low‐ice, low‐productivity regime. Unlike basin‐wide studies, we resolve frontal‐scale lagged effects linking SIEA and Chl‐a variability across frontal zones.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2026-08-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl123800
Primary Topic
Marine and coastal ecosystems
Type
article
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article

Antarctic Sea‐Ice Extent Anomalies Impact Interannual Variability of Phytoplankton Chlorophyll‐a in Southern Ocean Frontal Zones

David Antoine, Md Rony Golder
Geophysical Research Letters
Marine and coastal ecosystems
article

Antarctic Sea‐Ice Extent Anomalies Impact Interannual Variability of Phytoplankton Chlorophyll‐a in Southern Ocean Frontal Zones

David Antoine, Md Rony Golder
article en

Abstract

Abstract The influence of sea‐ice variability on Southern Ocean phytoplankton productivity across frontal zones remains poorly quantified. Using 26 years (1998–2023) of satellite data, we quantified how sea‐ice extent anomalies (SIEA) impact surface phytoplankton Chlorophyll‐a (Chl‐a) anomalies across three frontal zones. The annual minimum (February) and annual maximum (September) sea‐ice extent declined over 1998–2023 (Sen's slope = −19,088 and −28,858 km 2 yr −1 ; Mann–Kendall p = 0.0198 and 0.0230, respectively), with a faster relative decline at the annual minimum (−0.87% yr −1 ) than at the annual maximum (−0.18% yr −1 ). Lagged correlations show positive SIEA precede enhanced Chl‐a (36%–40%, p < 0.01) in coastal and Southern Boundary zones. Post‐2015, SIEA declined by 8.1% (from 11.88 to 10.91 million km 2 , with −17.4% anomaly in 2023), and Chl‐a declined by 2.6%–6.7% across zones, indicating a low‐ice, low‐productivity regime. Unlike basin‐wide studies, we resolve frontal‐scale lagged effects linking SIEA and Chl‐a variability across frontal zones.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 53(16)
University of Tasmania (AU), Australian Antarctic Division (AU), Curtin University (AU)
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 12%
Marine and coastal ecosystems
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