The Political Architecture of Sustained Irrationality: How Institutional Design Enables Negative-Sum Decision-Making

This paper develops an integrative theoretical framework for understanding why political institutions systematically reward decisions that produce negative-sum outcomes, a phenomenon termed institutionally enabled irrationality. The framework identifies three interacting mechanisms: consequence diffusion, through which temporal delay, spatial externalization, and narrative reframing insulate decision-makers from the costs of their choices; selection inversion, through which weakened accountability gradually favors leaders skilled in political positioning over those skilled in producing outcomes; and power amplification, through which the concentrated and often irreversible authority of political office converts individually bounded misjudgment into system-level crisis. Drawing on public choice theory, positive political theory, and historical institutionalism, the paper further challenges the widespread assumption that political systems self-correct, arguing that electoral and institutional correction mechanisms are considerably noisier and less reliable than commonly assumed. The diffusion–selection linkage is given a formal treatment grounded in the political-agency literature, and the paper concludes by proposing institutional design principles intended to strengthen consequence gradients and reduce the structural conditions under which irrationality is sustained.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-08-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21994459
Primary Topic
Policy Transfer and Learning
Type
preprint
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preprint

The Political Architecture of Sustained Irrationality: How Institutional Design Enables Negative-Sum Decision-Making

Momen Ghazouani
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Policy Transfer and Learning
preprint

The Political Architecture of Sustained Irrationality: How Institutional Design Enables Negative-Sum Decision-Making

Momen Ghazouani
preprint en

Abstract

This paper develops an integrative theoretical framework for understanding why political institutions systematically reward decisions that produce negative-sum outcomes, a phenomenon termed institutionally enabled irrationality. The framework identifies three interacting mechanisms: consequence diffusion, through which temporal delay, spatial externalization, and narrative reframing insulate decision-makers from the costs of their choices; selection inversion, through which weakened accountability gradually favors leaders skilled in political positioning over those skilled in producing outcomes; and power amplification, through which the concentrated and often irreversible authority of political office converts individually bounded misjudgment into system-level crisis. Drawing on public choice theory, positive political theory, and historical institutionalism, the paper further challenges the widespread assumption that political systems self-correct, arguing that electoral and institutional correction mechanisms are considerably noisier and less reliable than commonly assumed. The diffusion–selection linkage is given a formal treatment grounded in the political-agency literature, and the paper concludes by proposing institutional design principles intended to strengthen consequence gradients and reduce the structural conditions under which irrationality is sustained.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Policy Transfer and Learning
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