Study on Gravity Override Behavior of Water-Alternating-Gas Flooding in Ultra-Thick Carbonate Reservoir

Carbon dioxide water-alternating-gas (CO2-WAG) flooding simultaneously enables carbon emission mitigation, improved oil displacement efficiency, and expanded gas sweep coverage. Nevertheless, the field performance of this technology remains significantly constrained by gravity override effects, especially in ultra-thick oil reservoirs. In this work, a synthetic heterogeneous dipping mechanistic reservoir model is constructed. Using a quantitative metric for gravity override index in WAG processes, the variation patterns of gravity override under various operational factors are systematically analyzed. Furthermore, the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) machine learning algorithm is employed to conduct feature importance analysis of the controlling factors, identifying parameters with the most substantial impacts. The results indicate that well spacing, oil production rate, WAG injection strategy, and WAG slug duration all exert pronounced effects on both gravity override index and oil recovery factor. Gravity override is confirmed as the dominant factor governing the production performance of WAG flooding in ultra-thick reservoirs. In addition, an optimal combination of operational parameters exists that counterbalances the adverse effects of gravitational and viscous forces, thereby maximizing gas sweep efficiency, delaying gas breakthrough, and enhancing oil recovery. This study provides valuable insights and technical guidance for gas channeling mitigation, vertical gas sweep improvement, and efficient development of analogous ultra-thick reservoirs.