Design of experiments for efficient fatigue life prediction of ship structures

Fatigue damage in ship structures is a critical issue affecting operational safety and long-term reliability. Traditional fatigue analysis methods, including direct fatigue and spectral approaches, often incur high computational costs due to the large number of load scenarios. This paper presents a case study integrating Design of Experiments (DOE) techniques – specifically Taguchi's orthogonal array and the Plackett–Burman method – into fatigue analysis to reduce computational effort while maintaining accuracy. A representative ship model was analyzed using the Finite Element Method (FEM) under various operational and environmental conditions. Additionally, a simplified fatigue analysis was employed as an independent cross-check to confirm that the full-factorial baseline is not biased by scenario selection. A full-factorial design generated 108 FEM scenarios, reduced to 36 (Taguchi) and 22 (Plackett–Burman). Taguchi achieved 93% agreement with the full factorial analysis, while the Plackett–Burman achieved 84% agreement. These findings demonstrate that DOE techniques offer significant advantages as efficient, cost-effective and reliable tools for fatigue-life predictions in marine structures.

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Publication Details

Journal
Ships and Offshore Structures
Published
2026-08-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/17445302.2026.2715096
Primary Topic
Fatigue and fracture mechanics
Type
article
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article

Design of experiments for efficient fatigue life prediction of ship structures

Serdar Turgut Ince, Fatih Özdemir
Ships and Offshore Structures
Fatigue and fracture mechanics
article

Design of experiments for efficient fatigue life prediction of ship structures

Serdar Turgut Ince, Fatih Özdemir
article en

Abstract

Fatigue damage in ship structures is a critical issue affecting operational safety and long-term reliability. Traditional fatigue analysis methods, including direct fatigue and spectral approaches, often incur high computational costs due to the large number of load scenarios. This paper presents a case study integrating Design of Experiments (DOE) techniques – specifically Taguchi's orthogonal array and the Plackett–Burman method – into fatigue analysis to reduce computational effort while maintaining accuracy. A representative ship model was analyzed using the Finite Element Method (FEM) under various operational and environmental conditions. Additionally, a simplified fatigue analysis was employed as an independent cross-check to confirm that the full-factorial baseline is not biased by scenario selection. A full-factorial design generated 108 FEM scenarios, reduced to 36 (Taguchi) and 22 (Plackett–Burman). Taguchi achieved 93% agreement with the full factorial analysis, while the Plackett–Burman achieved 84% agreement. These findings demonstrate that DOE techniques offer significant advantages as efficient, cost-effective and reliable tools for fatigue-life predictions in marine structures.

Ships and Offshore Structures
Yıldız Technical University (TR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 17%
Fatigue and fracture mechanics
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