Accounting for uncertainty in computational models of ventricular tachycardia improves ablation guidance

Personalized 'digital twin' technology has the potential to revolutionize target guidance for catheter ablation therapy of ventricular tachycardia (VT); however, concerns regarding the practical implementation of these computationally intensive approaches, along with the robustness of simulation predictions given uncertainty in the interpretation and analysis of clinical imaging data used to reconstruct image-based models, are hindering clinical translation. Here we present a new technical framework that provides near-real-time guidance on VT ablation targets, inherently incorporating uncertainty in reconstructed scar anatomy. We demonstrate close agreement between simulated ECG 'fingerprint' signatures of VT circuits and clinical recordings in ischemic ablation patients, highlighting the need to account for variations in reconstructed scar anatomy to identify the best-matching simulated circuit. Finally, we introduce a robust method for integrating anatomical information across all viable simulated circuits from different model 'instances' into a simulated ablation target heatmap for practical clinical guidance.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nature Cardiovascular Research
Published
2026-08-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s44161-026-00856-w
Primary Topic
Cardiac Arrhythmias and Treatments
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Accounting for uncertainty in computational models of ventricular tachycardia improves ablation guidance

Gernot Plank, Aurel Neic, Martin J. Bishop, Luca Azzolin et al.
Nature Cardiovascular Research
Cardiac Arrhythmias and Treatments
article

Accounting for uncertainty in computational models of ventricular tachycardia improves ablation guidance

Gernot Plank, Aurel Neic, Martin J. Bishop, Luca Azzolin, Pranav Bhagirath, Ursula Rohrer, Abdul Mateen Qadri, Iulia Nazarov, C. Aldo Rinaldi, Fernando O. Campos, Ali-Razak Rashid, John Whitaker, Ronak Rajani
article en

Abstract

Personalized 'digital twin' technology has the potential to revolutionize target guidance for catheter ablation therapy of ventricular tachycardia (VT); however, concerns regarding the practical implementation of these computationally intensive approaches, along with the robustness of simulation predictions given uncertainty in the interpretation and analysis of clinical imaging data used to reconstruct image-based models, are hindering clinical translation. Here we present a new technical framework that provides near-real-time guidance on VT ablation targets, inherently incorporating uncertainty in reconstructed scar anatomy. We demonstrate close agreement between simulated ECG 'fingerprint' signatures of VT circuits and clinical recordings in ischemic ablation patients, highlighting the need to account for variations in reconstructed scar anatomy to identify the best-matching simulated circuit. Finally, we introduce a robust method for integrating anatomical information across all viable simulated circuits from different model 'instances' into a simulated ablation target heatmap for practical clinical guidance.

Nature Cardiovascular Research
King's College London (GB), Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust (GB), Medical University of Graz (AT), Thomas Foundation (AU), BioTechMed-Graz (AT), Amsterdam University Medical Centers (NL)
Wellcome Trust, British Heart Foundation, King's College London, Medical Research Council
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Cardiac Arrhythmias and Treatments
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