Advanced machine learning simulation model for predicting power grid stability and enhancing operational training

Our article introduces a novel simulation model based on CatBoost algorithm to make very high and interpretable predictions of power grid stability. The study aims at addressing shortcomings of current methods, such as scalability, inexplicability and computational inefficiency that inhibit its application in practice. The developed model uses the latest machine learning to analyze high-dimensional data and suggests practical insights based on the assessment of feature significance and interaction testing. Visualization techniques that are a suite such as 3D scatter and surface plots are what give this work a new dimension since they allow intuitive knowledge on grid stability dynamics. It demonstrated an accuracy of 93.95% and AUC-ROC of 0.99 that indicates that the model is strong in defining stable and unstable states. The most influential predictors were feature-based tau1, tau2 and tau4, which made useful suggestions about grid optimization.

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Publication Details

Journal
Ain Shams Engineering Journal
Published
2026-08-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asej.2026.104307
Primary Topic
Power System Optimization and Stability
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Advanced machine learning simulation model for predicting power grid stability and enhancing operational training

Yunfei Huang, Jinsong Li, Long Liao, Xun Sun et al.
Ain Shams Engineering Journal
Power System Optimization and Stability
article

Advanced machine learning simulation model for predicting power grid stability and enhancing operational training

Yunfei Huang, Jinsong Li, Long Liao, Xun Sun, Hongmei Li
article en

Abstract

Our article introduces a novel simulation model based on CatBoost algorithm to make very high and interpretable predictions of power grid stability. The study aims at addressing shortcomings of current methods, such as scalability, inexplicability and computational inefficiency that inhibit its application in practice. The developed model uses the latest machine learning to analyze high-dimensional data and suggests practical insights based on the assessment of feature significance and interaction testing. Visualization techniques that are a suite such as 3D scatter and surface plots are what give this work a new dimension since they allow intuitive knowledge on grid stability dynamics. It demonstrated an accuracy of 93.95% and AUC-ROC of 0.99 that indicates that the model is strong in defining stable and unstable states. The most influential predictors were feature-based tau1, tau2 and tau4, which made useful suggestions about grid optimization.

Ain Shams Engineering JournalVol. 17(10)
Power Grid Corporation (India) (IN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 18%
Power System Optimization and Stability
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Advanced machine learning simulation model for predicting power grid stability and enhancing operational training — Yunfei Huang, Jinsong Li, et al. · Ain Shams Engineering Journal (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS